50mais1

SP · Assis immediate region

Lutécia: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Lutécia with 53.07% of valid votes against 46.93% for Lula: a margin of 6.14 points, 9.71 points right of Brazil.

Likely rightSwing
Lean versus Brazil
+10.13pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
2,379
607th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes
4
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Lutécia+6.14 pts
  • São Paulo+7.69 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.07%
  • Lula (PT)46.93%
+6.14 ptsRight bloc81.93%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.66%
  • Lula (PT)41.41%
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.83%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.55%
+8 more
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.22%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.17%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.06%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.06%
  • Samara (UP)0.06%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.00%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%
+13.75 ptsRight bloc78.66%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)52.74%
  • Lula (PT)47.26%
+5.48 ptsRight bloc79.39%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.44%
  • Lula (PT)46.53%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)2.53%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.13%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.16%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.11%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.05%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.05%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00%
+4.57 ptsRight bloc78.53%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)59.65%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)40.35%
+19.31 ptsRight bloc74.16%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)47.42%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)28.87%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)11.30%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.57%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.36%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.16%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.87%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.81%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.41%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.17%
  • Eymael (DC)0.06%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%
+29.16 ptsRight bloc74.52%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)59.59%
  • Dilma (PT)40.41%
+19.18 ptsRight bloc77.09%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)45.59%
  • Dilma (PT)32.69%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)18.41%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.05%
+7 more
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.05%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.77%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.28%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.11%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.00%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00%
−5.95 ptsLeft bloc78.76%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)54.63%
  • José Serra (PSDB)45.37%
−9.26 ptsLeft bloc79.50%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)48.22%
  • José Serra (PSDB)36.96%
  • Marina Silva (PV)13.94%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.77%
+2 more
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%
−26.08 ptsLeft bloc80.36%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)56.10%
  • Lula (PT)43.90%
+12.21 ptsRight bloc83.71%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)63.13%
  • Lula (PT)31.59%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.44%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.72%
+2 more
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.06%
+26.49 ptsRight bloc84.72%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)50.00%
  • José Serra (PSDB)50.00%
0.00 ptsTie68.70%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)40.63%
  • José Serra (PSDB)38.84%
  • Garotinho (PSB)12.29%
  • Ciro (PPS)7.68%
+1 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.55%
−22.31 ptsLeft bloc71.83%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)67.33%
  • Lula (PT)17.36%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)9.48%
  • Enéas (PRONA)2.19%
+8 more
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.73%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.60%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.60%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.40%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.40%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.40%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.27%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.27%
+41.68 ptsRight bloc71.83%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)55.44%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)23.77%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)13.53%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.82%
+4 more
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.63%
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.38%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.25%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.19%
+72.44 ptsRight bloc74.20%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Right bloc
  • 2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Right bloc
  • 2010(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Assis immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.