SP · Jales immediate region

Marinópolis: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Marinópolis with 54.55% of valid votes against 45.45% for Lula: a margin of 9.09 points, 12.66 points right of Brazil.

Likely right

Lean versus Brazil: +12.05pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 1,754; 633th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Marinópolis+9.09 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.55% Lula (PT)45.45%	+9.09 pts	Right bloc	84.26%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.39% Lula (PT)40.81% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.82% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.53% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.38% Clariana Barao (DC)0.07% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Zema (NOVO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+15.32 pts	Right bloc	82.38%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)53.40% Lula (PT)46.60%	+6.79 pts	Right bloc	79.81%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)48.90% Lula (PT)44.51% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.25% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.76% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.22% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.22% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.15% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+7.17 pts	Right bloc	79.37%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)60.88% Fernando Haddad (PT)39.12%	+21.77 pts	Right bloc	78.05%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)45.20% Fernando Haddad (PT)25.00% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)15.87% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.73% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.41% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.70% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.85% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.85% Marina Silva (REDE)0.39% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+35.76 pts	Right bloc	77.25%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)58.88% Dilma (PT)41.12%	+17.77 pts	Right bloc	79.34%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)55.01% Dilma (PT)30.47% Marina Silva (PSB)11.66% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.00% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.79% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.79% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.21% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (PSDC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+12.02 pts	Right bloc	79.91%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)53.90% Dilma (PT)46.10%	+7.81 pts	Right bloc	78.03%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)47.37% Dilma (PT)41.77% Marina Silva (PV)10.53% Plínio (PSOL)0.27% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07%	−5.26 pts	Left bloc	80.85%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.85% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)49.15%	−1.69 pts	Left bloc	85.42%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)51.59% Lula (PT)44.27% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.45% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.55% +1 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.14%	+3.45 pts	Right bloc	86.68%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)53.06% Lula (PT)46.94%	+6.11 pts	Right bloc	84.86%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)39.53% Lula (PT)36.03% Ciro (PPS)13.44% Garotinho (PSB)10.72% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.29%	−20.94 pts	Left bloc	87.29%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)77.41% Lula (PT)11.21% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.68% Enéas (PRONA)1.40% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.74% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.66% Eymael (PSDC)0.58% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.49% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.25% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.25% Sirkis (PV)0.25% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.08%	+59.93 pts	Right bloc	76.61%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)61.17% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)23.10% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)11.55% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.43% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.92% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.59% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.17% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.08%	+76.74 pts	Right bloc	80.69%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Jales immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.