SP · São José dos Campos immediate region

Monteiro Lobato: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Monteiro Lobato with 54.72% of valid votes against 45.28% for Lula: a margin of 9.45 points, 13.02 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +15.65pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,833; 520th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Monteiro Lobato+9.45 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.72% Lula (PT)45.28%	+9.45 pts	Right bloc	82.13%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.28% Lula (PT)40.24% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.39% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.91% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.60% Zema (NOVO)0.41% Samara (UP)0.17% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+14.40 pts	Right bloc	80.43%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)53.58% Lula (PT)46.42%	+7.15 pts	Right bloc	78.90%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)47.09% Lula (PT)43.70% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.84% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.45% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.41% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.31% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.10% Léo Péricles (UP)0.07% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	+7.37 pts	Right bloc	77.57%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)66.31% Fernando Haddad (PT)33.69%	+32.61 pts	Right bloc	76.57%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)48.77% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)20.49% Fernando Haddad (PT)14.55% Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.51% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)4.51% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.16% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.86% Marina Silva (REDE)0.41% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.30% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.26% Eymael (DC)0.11% Vera (PSTU)0.07% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+52.39 pts	Right bloc	76.92%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)64.79% Dilma (PT)35.21%	+29.59 pts	Right bloc	79.88%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)51.93% Dilma (PT)25.16% Marina Silva (PSB)18.96% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.43% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)1.09% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.90% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.30% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.15% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.08% Eymael (PSDC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+6.27 pts	Right bloc	80.05%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)61.27% Dilma (PT)38.73%	+22.54 pts	Right bloc	83.35%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)51.72% Dilma (PT)30.50% Marina Silva (PV)17.20% Plínio (PSOL)0.38% +3 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.08% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04%	+3.52 pts	Right bloc	85.62%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)58.43% Lula (PT)41.57%	+16.86 pts	Right bloc	82.01%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)65.55% Lula (PT)27.74% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.28% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.36% +2 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.04%	+31.24 pts	Right bloc	83.07%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)52.19% Lula (PT)47.81%	+4.38 pts	Right bloc	85.30%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)38.18% José Serra (PSDB)35.61% Ciro (PPS)13.63% Garotinho (PSB)11.77% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.81%	−28.79 pts	Left bloc	86.41%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)66.15% Lula (PT)17.60% Ciro Gomes (PPS)11.10% Sirkis (PV)0.91% +8 more Enéas (PRONA)0.82% Eymael (PSDC)0.74% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.61% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.56% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.52% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.52% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.35% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.13%	+37.75 pts	Right bloc	78.43%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)63.67% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)13.89% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)10.24% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)8.27% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)2.64% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.53% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.43% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.34%	+71.17 pts	Right bloc	80.74%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the São José dos Campos immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.