SP · Bragança Paulista immediate region

Nazaré Paulista: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Nazaré Paulista with 63.62% of valid votes against 36.38% for Lula: a margin of 27.25 points, 30.82 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +33.87pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 14,474; 259th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Nazaré Paulista+27.25 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)63.62% Lula (PT)36.38%	+27.25 pts	Right bloc	81.08%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)61.32% Lula (PT)29.23% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.56% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)3.42% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.10% Samara (UP)0.11% Zema (NOVO)0.10% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.04% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02%	+34.01 pts	Right bloc	78.73%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)61.87% Lula (PT)38.13%	+23.74 pts	Right bloc	76.38%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)54.44% Lula (PT)35.57% Simone Tebet (MDB)6.10% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.57% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.68% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.38% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.09% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.03% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03%	+23.40 pts	Right bloc	76.22%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)76.38% Fernando Haddad (PT)23.62%	+52.77 pts	Right bloc	73.76%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)57.53% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)17.22% Fernando Haddad (PT)12.23% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.74% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.19% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.08% Marina Silva (REDE)0.95% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.74% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.70% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.42% Vera (PSTU)0.12% Eymael (DC)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%	+58.46 pts	Right bloc	74.75%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)75.27% Dilma (PT)24.73%	+50.53 pts	Right bloc	75.24%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)60.00% Dilma (PT)20.12% Marina Silva (PSB)17.27% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.06% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.78% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.36% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.19% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+21.23 pts	Right bloc	76.28%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)54.53% Dilma (PT)45.47%	+9.05 pts	Right bloc	76.27%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)44.36% Dilma (PT)41.20% Marina Silva (PV)13.44% Plínio (PSOL)0.80% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−11.10 pts	Left bloc	78.23%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)65.57% Lula (PT)34.43%	+31.13 pts	Right bloc	79.49%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)70.21% Lula (PT)23.93% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.78% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.22% +3 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.78% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.07% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	+42.16 pts	Right bloc	81.11%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)63.08% Lula (PT)36.92%	+26.16 pts	Right bloc	79.15%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)48.32% Lula (PT)27.52% Garotinho (PSB)12.96% Ciro (PPS)10.76% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.40% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−3.37 pts	Left bloc	80.18%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)74.75% Lula (PT)12.69% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.68% Enéas (PRONA)1.64% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.01% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.57% Sirkis (PV)0.57% Eymael (PSDC)0.49% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.45% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.43% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.39% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.32%	+56.16 pts	Right bloc	80.72%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)61.77% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)22.26% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)9.87% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.15% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.83% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.58% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.33% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.21%	+79.59 pts	Right bloc	83.75%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

Other municipalities in the Bragança Paulista immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.