SP · Santa Fé do Sul immediate region

Nova Canaã Paulista: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Nova Canaã Paulista with 54.33% of valid votes against 45.67% for Lula: a margin of 8.65 points, 12.22 points right of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +6.98pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 2,275; 613th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Nova Canaã Paulista+8.65 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.33% Lula (PT)45.67%	+8.65 pts	Right bloc	74.90%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)51.68% Lula (PT)40.85% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.91% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.60% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.71% Samara (UP)0.13% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.06% Clariana Barao (DC)0.06% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Zema (NOVO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+12.73 pts	Right bloc	73.27%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)51.55% Lula (PT)48.45%	+3.11 pts	Right bloc	75.06%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.10% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)45.47% Simone Tebet (MDB)6.52% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.56% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.35% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+4.67 pts	Right bloc	73.39%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.78% Fernando Haddad (PT)41.22%	+17.55 pts	Right bloc	69.67%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)48.68% Fernando Haddad (PT)25.06% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)13.36% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.87% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.49% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.13% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.06% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.68% Marina Silva (REDE)0.38% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.15% Vera (PSTU)0.08% Eymael (DC)0.08% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+34.94 pts	Right bloc	70.33%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)55.82% Aécio Neves (PSDB)44.18%	−11.65 pts	Left bloc	77.81%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)44.55% Aécio Neves (PSDB)42.09% Marina Silva (PSB)12.57% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.27% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.27% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.07% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.07% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (PSDC)0.00%	−15.16 pts	Left bloc	78.73%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)55.92% José Serra (PSDB)44.08%	−11.83 pts	Left bloc	83.94%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)48.78% José Serra (PSDB)42.93% Marina Silva (PV)7.95% Plínio (PSOL)0.27% +1 more Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.07%	−14.13 pts	Left bloc	85.03%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.15% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)46.85%	−6.29 pts	Left bloc	81.58%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)53.48% Lula (PT)43.66% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.12% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.53% +2 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.13% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.07%	+7.37 pts	Right bloc	82.19%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)58.96% Lula (PT)41.04%	+17.93 pts	Right bloc	84.42%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)51.28% Lula (PT)35.72% Garotinho (PSB)8.72% Ciro (PPS)4.05% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.23%	+2.57 pts	Right bloc	86.90%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)74.95% Lula (PT)13.39% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.50% Enéas (PRONA)2.94% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.83% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.64% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.55% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.28% Eymael (PSDC)0.28% Sirkis (PV)0.28% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.18% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.18%	+57.61 pts	Right bloc	72.14%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)54.77% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)22.39% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)14.54% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.53% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.07% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.71% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.54% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.45%	+69.85 pts	Right bloc	79.28%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Santa Fé do Sul immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.