SP · Araraquara immediate region

Rincão: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Rincão with 51.44% of valid votes against 48.56% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 2.87 points, 0.70 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +1.64pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 7,171; 382th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2018.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Rincão−2.87 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.44% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.56%	−2.87 pts	Left bloc	79.36%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.33% Lula (PT)45.58% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.89% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.51% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.36% Zema (NOVO)0.16% Clariana Barao (DC)0.06% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.04% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.04% Samara (UP)0.04% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+2.91 pts	Right bloc	76.67%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.54% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.46%	−7.08 pts	Left bloc	76.20%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)52.99% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.17% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.79% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.37% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.38% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.22% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.04% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−8.80 pts	Left bloc	76.02%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)57.43% Fernando Haddad (PT)42.57%	+14.86 pts	Right bloc	76.03%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)43.54% Fernando Haddad (PT)25.98% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)15.94% Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.68% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.21% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.84% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.45% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.45% Marina Silva (REDE)0.43% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.31% Eymael (DC)0.14% Vera (PSTU)0.02% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+29.12 pts	Right bloc	74.52%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)58.48% Dilma (PT)41.52%	+16.96 pts	Right bloc	77.38%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)46.32% Dilma (PT)34.53% Marina Silva (PSB)15.75% Luciana Genro (PSOL)2.24% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.53% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.33% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.15% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02% Eymael (PSDC)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−6.37 pts	Left bloc	77.88%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)54.60% Dilma (PT)45.40%	+9.20 pts	Right bloc	79.12%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)49.53% Dilma (PT)40.99% Marina Silva (PV)9.02% Plínio (PSOL)0.32% +4 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−0.83 pts	Left bloc	80.77%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.32% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)47.68%	−4.64 pts	Left bloc	80.09%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)54.48% Lula (PT)40.91% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.19% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.26% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.13% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	+9.28 pts	Right bloc	81.44%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.31% José Serra (PSDB)46.69%	−6.63 pts	Left bloc	80.19%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.53% José Serra (PSDB)33.52% Garotinho (PSB)8.66% Ciro (PPS)7.75% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.52% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−32.96 pts	Left bloc	81.19%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)43.23% Lula (PT)42.49% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.60% Enéas (PRONA)3.53% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)0.58% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.49% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.49% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.38% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.34% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.31% Sirkis (PV)0.29% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.25%	−3.37 pts	Left bloc	82.65%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)41.04% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)33.40% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)13.48% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)9.61% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.19% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.54% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.42% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.33%	+32.37 pts	Right bloc	86.99%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Araraquara immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.