SP · Presidente Prudente immediate region

Tarabai: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Tarabai with 51.49% of valid votes against 48.51% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 2.97 points, 0.60 points right of Brazil.

Lean leftSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −3.03pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 5,176; 449th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Tarabai−2.97 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.49% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.51%	−2.97 pts	Left bloc	82.65%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)49.21% Lula (PT)44.26% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.57% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.29% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.35% Zema (NOVO)0.20% Samara (UP)0.05% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+6.20 pts	Right bloc	79.40%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.89% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.11%	−7.78 pts	Left bloc	77.27%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)53.16% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.44% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.94% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.60% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.44% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.30% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−9.67 pts	Left bloc	75.74%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)53.08% Fernando Haddad (PT)46.92%	+6.17 pts	Right bloc	74.31%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)39.98% Fernando Haddad (PT)34.28% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)12.71% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.32% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.37% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.91% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.88% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.85% Marina Silva (REDE)0.52% Eymael (DC)0.08% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%	+17.56 pts	Right bloc	75.51%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)54.95% Aécio Neves (PSDB)45.05%	−9.90 pts	Left bloc	76.93%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)42.07% Aécio Neves (PSDB)40.46% Marina Silva (PSB)15.93% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.45% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.40% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.35% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.32% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.00% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Eymael (PSDC)0.00%	−17.59 pts	Left bloc	78.34%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)55.80% José Serra (PSDB)44.20%	−11.59 pts	Left bloc	79.38%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)46.61% José Serra (PSDB)33.90% Marina Silva (PV)18.76% Plínio (PSOL)0.56% +3 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05%	−32.00 pts	Left bloc	81.70%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)58.65% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)41.35%	−17.31 pts	Left bloc	84.94%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)47.75% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.50% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)5.50% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.20% +2 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.03%	−8.89 pts	Left bloc	85.95%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)63.16% José Serra (PSDB)36.84%	−26.33 pts	Left bloc	75.90%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.32% José Serra (PSDB)24.72% Ciro (PPS)10.62% Garotinho (PSB)10.00% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.34%	−50.57 pts	Left bloc	75.49%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)58.39% Lula (PT)27.83% Ciro Gomes (PPS)9.03% Enéas (PRONA)1.84% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.60% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.56% Eymael (PSDC)0.41% Sirkis (PV)0.37% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.30% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.26% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.22% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.19%	+22.77 pts	Right bloc	76.30%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)64.01% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)19.32% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.90% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)6.15% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.18% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.49% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.49% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.46%	+60.36 pts	Right bloc	81.88%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Presidente Prudente immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.