TO · Araguaína immediate region

Arapoema: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Arapoema with 53.60% of valid votes against 46.40% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 7.20 points, 3.63 points left of Brazil.

Likely left

Lean versus Brazil: −12.55pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,629; 59th largest electorate in Tocantins
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Tocantins

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Arapoema−7.20 pts
Tocantins+2.74 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.60% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)46.40%	−7.20 pts	Left bloc	76.58%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.91% Lula (PT)47.33% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.02% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.76% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.90% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Zema (NOVO)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+1.76 pts	Right bloc	78.07%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.54% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.46%	−13.07 pts	Left bloc	76.22%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)55.82% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)39.67% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.37% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.44% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.48% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.14% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.08% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−14.52 pts	Left bloc	78.81%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)56.66% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)43.34%	−13.33 pts	Left bloc	74.55%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)50.45% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)38.41% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.52% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.96% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.90% Marina Silva (REDE)0.72% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.60% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.51% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.45% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.42% Vera (PSTU)0.06% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−12.69 pts	Left bloc	80.73%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)66.63% Aécio Neves (PSDB)33.37%	−33.25 pts	Left bloc	69.77%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)63.09% Aécio Neves (PSDB)25.77% Marina Silva (PSB)9.83% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.89% +5 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.24% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.09% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.03%	−46.45 pts	Left bloc	75.57%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)61.25% José Serra (PSDB)38.75%	−22.50 pts	Left bloc	70.47%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)55.27% José Serra (PSDB)26.18% Marina Silva (PV)18.21% Plínio (PSOL)0.16% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−47.43 pts	Left bloc	80.92%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)72.70% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)27.30%	−45.40 pts	Left bloc	67.59%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)61.52% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)35.75% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.33% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.16% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.14% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	−28.02 pts	Left bloc	77.19%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.68% José Serra (PSDB)47.32%	−5.37 pts	Left bloc	64.07%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)41.16% José Serra (PSDB)33.01% Garotinho (PSB)19.79% Ciro (PPS)5.86% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.15% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−33.98 pts	Left bloc	74.91%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)70.22% Lula (PT)14.43% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.03% Enéas (PRONA)1.42% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.89% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.80% Eymael (PSDC)0.53% Sirkis (PV)0.53% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.49% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.22% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.22% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.22%	+45.67 pts	Right bloc	66.13%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)67.38% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)20.00% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)6.87% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.89% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.31% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.74% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.44% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.38%	+59.13 pts	Right bloc	57.57%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Araguaína immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.