TO · Gurupi immediate region

Cariri do Tocantins: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Cariri do Tocantins with 55.71% of valid votes against 44.29% for Lula: a margin of 11.42 points, 14.99 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +2.89pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,798; 78th largest electorate in Tocantins
Side changes: 4; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Tocantins

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Cariri do Tocantins+11.42 pts
Tocantins+2.74 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)55.71% Lula (PT)44.29%	+11.42 pts	Right bloc	79.38%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.95% Lula (PT)40.14% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.07% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.03% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.75% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Zema (NOVO)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+15.66 pts	Right bloc	80.23%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.41% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.59%	−0.82 pts	Left bloc	78.97%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.90% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.91% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.99% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.95% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.14% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.07% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−5.76 pts	Left bloc	80.99%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)52.71% Fernando Haddad (PT)47.29%	+5.43 pts	Right bloc	73.11%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)46.87% Fernando Haddad (PT)39.53% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.57% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.52% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.31% Marina Silva (REDE)1.13% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.90% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.45% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.36% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.27% Eymael (DC)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	+4.91 pts	Right bloc	78.12%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)63.80% Aécio Neves (PSDB)36.20%	−27.61 pts	Left bloc	79.05%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)56.04% Aécio Neves (PSDB)24.46% Marina Silva (PSB)17.84% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.20% +3 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.20% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.15% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.10%	−48.37 pts	Left bloc	84.01%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)61.13% José Serra (PSDB)38.87%	−22.26 pts	Left bloc	79.77%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)56.12% José Serra (PSDB)26.55% Marina Silva (PV)16.97% Plínio (PSOL)0.25% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05%	−46.89 pts	Left bloc	85.39%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)72.39% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)27.61%	−44.77 pts	Left bloc	73.58%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)61.03% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)35.86% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.97% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.69% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.39% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	−27.39 pts	Left bloc	80.68%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.57% José Serra (PSDB)40.43%	−19.13 pts	Left bloc	72.12%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.43% José Serra (PSDB)29.71% Garotinho (PSB)13.55% Ciro (PPS)6.20% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%	−40.58 pts	Left bloc	79.71%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)69.86% Lula (PT)15.87% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.23% Enéas (PRONA)1.61% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.48% Sirkis (PV)0.48% Eymael (PSDC)0.32% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.32% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.24% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.24% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.16% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.16%	+44.72 pts	Right bloc	84.14%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)75.38% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)11.20% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.86% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.82% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.03% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.68% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.51% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.51%	+76.24 pts	Right bloc	76.08%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Gurupi immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.