TO · Paraíso do Tocantins immediate region

Caseara: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Caseara with 52.08% of valid votes against 47.92% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 4.15 points, 0.58 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −17.05pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,951; 75th largest electorate in Tocantins
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Tocantins

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Caseara−4.15 pts
Tocantins+2.74 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.08% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.92%	−4.15 pts	Left bloc	80.41%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.41% Lula (PT)46.88% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.10% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.91% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.61% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Zema (NOVO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+1.91 pts	Right bloc	82.18%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)60.65% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)39.35%	−21.30 pts	Left bloc	78.67%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)61.05% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)35.45% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.88% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.24% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.24% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.10% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.00%	−24.66 pts	Left bloc	81.04%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)65.09% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)34.91%	−30.18 pts	Left bloc	79.20%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)60.40% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)30.52% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.73% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.36% +9 more Marina Silva (REDE)0.53% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.45% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.30% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.30% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.30% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.08% Eymael (DC)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−31.46 pts	Left bloc	84.29%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)66.07% Aécio Neves (PSDB)33.93%	−32.13 pts	Left bloc	68.47%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)60.77% Aécio Neves (PSDB)25.82% Marina Silva (PSB)12.72% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.30% +4 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.15% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.11% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.08% Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−47.44 pts	Left bloc	77.97%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)65.09% José Serra (PSDB)34.91%	−30.19 pts	Left bloc	69.55%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)59.98% José Serra (PSDB)27.58% Marina Silva (PV)12.15% Plínio (PSOL)0.12% +4 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04%	−44.67 pts	Left bloc	78.94%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)75.30% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)24.70%	−50.61 pts	Left bloc	72.93%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)67.73% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)28.99% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.18% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.00% +1 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.09%	−41.83 pts	Left bloc	80.44%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.77% José Serra (PSDB)44.23%	−11.54 pts	Left bloc	69.83%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)45.29% José Serra (PSDB)33.78% Garotinho (PSB)15.64% Ciro (PPS)5.21% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07%	−32.43 pts	Left bloc	77.73%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)67.92% Lula (PT)20.07% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.69% Enéas (PRONA)2.14% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.69% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.69% Sirkis (PV)0.60% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.43% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.34% Eymael (PSDC)0.26% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.09% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.09%	+41.68 pts	Right bloc	76.52%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)66.73% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.84% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)10.66% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.48% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.80% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.70% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.50% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.30%	+66.93 pts	Right bloc	68.36%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Paraíso do Tocantins immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.