TO · Guaraí immediate region

Tabocão: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Tabocão with 51.41% of valid votes against 48.59% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 2.82 points, 0.75 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −2.87pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,073; 100th largest electorate in Tocantins
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Tocantins

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Tabocão−2.82 pts
Tocantins+2.74 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.41% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.59%	−2.82 pts	Left bloc	77.45%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.48% Lula (PT)46.77% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.77% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.76% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.13% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04% Zema (NOVO)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+2.85 pts	Right bloc	80.80%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.13% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)45.87%	−8.26 pts	Left bloc	78.54%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)53.61% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)40.69% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.87% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.28% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.34% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.17% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−12.96 pts	Left bloc	79.81%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)52.95% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)47.05%	−5.90 pts	Left bloc	71.02%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)41.10% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)39.42% Ciro Gomes (PDT)14.51% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.98% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.86% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.71% Marina Silva (REDE)0.46% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.41% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.30% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.15% Eymael (DC)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	−12.53 pts	Left bloc	79.99%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)58.37% Dilma (PT)41.63%	+16.74 pts	Right bloc	76.22%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)46.74% Dilma (PT)37.12% Marina Silva (PSB)15.25% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.33% +3 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.33% Eymael (PSDC)0.11% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.11%	−5.40 pts	Left bloc	83.56%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)54.69% José Serra (PSDB)45.31%	−9.38 pts	Left bloc	82.42%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)45.03% José Serra (PSDB)37.67% Marina Silva (PV)16.98% Plínio (PSOL)0.33%	−24.67 pts	Left bloc	89.19%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)63.09% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)36.91%	−26.18 pts	Left bloc	80.56%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.72% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.29% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.99% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.92% +1 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.08%	−9.26 pts	Left bloc	88.00%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)58.48% José Serra (PSDB)41.52%	−16.96 pts	Left bloc	66.33%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)39.59% José Serra (PSDB)33.01% Garotinho (PSB)15.44% Ciro (PPS)11.89% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07%	−33.97 pts	Left bloc	82.27%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)70.32% Ciro Gomes (PPS)11.98% Lula (PT)11.87% Enéas (PRONA)2.35% +7 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.01% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.90% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.67% Eymael (PSDC)0.45% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.22% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.11% Sirkis (PV)0.11%	+46.92 pts	Right bloc	93.17%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)75.31% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)9.84% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)9.43% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.07% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.72% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.72% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.51% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.41%	+79.71 pts	Right bloc	73.08%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2018(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Guaraí immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.