50mais1

MS · Jardim immediate region

Bela Vista: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Bela Vista with 58.65% of valid votes against 41.35% for Lula: a margin of 17.30 points, 20.87 points right of Brazil.

Solid rightSwing
Lean versus Brazil
+15.84pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
16,423
27th largest electorate in Mato Grosso do Sul
Side changes
2
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Mato Grosso do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Bela Vista+17.30 pts
  • Mato Grosso do Sul+19.20 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)58.65%
  • Lula (PT)41.35%
+17.30 ptsRight bloc74.08%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)59.77%
  • Lula (PT)36.25%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.63%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.40%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.77%
  • Samara (UP)0.06%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.04%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.04%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.02%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%
+24.01 ptsRight bloc72.88%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)57.16%
  • Lula (PT)42.84%
+14.31 ptsRight bloc73.10%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)52.53%
  • Lula (PT)42.03%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)3.88%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.05%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.34%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.07%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.01%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
+13.79 ptsRight bloc73.49%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.48%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)41.52%
+16.95 ptsRight bloc69.44%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.71%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)32.38%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)7.74%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.89%
+9 more
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.23%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.11%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.56%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.56%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.45%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.32%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.01%
  • Eymael (DC)0.01%
+23.63 ptsRight bloc72.07%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)54.97%
  • Dilma (PT)45.03%
+9.94 ptsRight bloc69.69%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)42.57%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)40.90%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)15.38%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.42%
+6 more
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.26%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.20%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.18%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.05%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.01%
−17.16 ptsLeft bloc73.99%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)52.42%
  • Dilma (PT)47.58%
+4.84 ptsRight bloc71.44%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)47.64%
  • José Serra (PSDB)43.15%
  • Marina Silva (PV)8.56%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.53%
+4 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.05%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.02%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02%
−13.55 ptsLeft bloc78.15%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)53.11%
  • Lula (PT)46.89%
+6.22 ptsRight bloc73.73%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)54.22%
  • Lula (PT)40.50%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.76%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.35%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.10%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%
+8.77 ptsRight bloc79.26%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)58.38%
  • José Serra (PSDB)41.62%
−16.77 ptsLeft bloc73.84%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)45.10%
  • José Serra (PSDB)27.54%
  • Garotinho (PSB)14.90%
  • Ciro (PPS)12.31%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.15%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−44.92 ptsLeft bloc77.86%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)64.67%
  • Lula (PT)22.73%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)8.64%
  • Enéas (PRONA)0.94%
+8 more
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.70%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.60%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.44%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.40%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.31%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.23%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.21%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.11%
+33.75 ptsRight bloc77.05%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)68.32%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.71%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)9.94%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.17%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.10%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.03%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.59%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.15%
+66.52 ptsRight bloc82.97%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2010(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2014(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Jardim immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.