MS · Jardim immediate region

Nioaque: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Nioaque with 53.93% of valid votes against 46.07% for Lula: a margin of 7.86 points, 11.43 points right of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +5.19pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 10,376; 43th largest electorate in Mato Grosso do Sul
Side changes: 4; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Mato Grosso do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Nioaque+7.86 pts
Mato Grosso do Sul+19.20 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.93% Lula (PT)46.07%	+7.86 pts	Right bloc	78.59%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.24% Lula (PT)42.20% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.34% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.18% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.92% Samara (UP)0.05% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Zema (NOVO)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+12.76 pts	Right bloc	76.79%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)53.23% Lula (PT)46.77%	+6.47 pts	Right bloc	74.24%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)48.23% Lula (PT)46.70% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.49% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.10% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.29% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.16% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+4.38 pts	Right bloc	75.88%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)51.91% Fernando Haddad (PT)48.09%	+3.82 pts	Right bloc	70.46%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)44.49% Fernando Haddad (PT)40.81% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)7.13% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.03% +9 more Marina Silva (REDE)0.72% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.67% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.63% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.56% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.48% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.41% Vera (PSTU)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.01%	+7.64 pts	Right bloc	74.34%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)54.50% Aécio Neves (PSDB)45.50%	−9.00 pts	Left bloc	72.08%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)52.08% Aécio Neves (PSDB)32.34% Marina Silva (PSB)14.54% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.55% +6 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.20% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.17% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.01%	−33.87 pts	Left bloc	76.53%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)51.18% José Serra (PSDB)48.82%	−2.35 pts	Left bloc	68.34%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)49.29% José Serra (PSDB)36.96% Marina Silva (PV)13.19% Plínio (PSOL)0.49% +2 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	−25.95 pts	Left bloc	79.26%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)51.60% Lula (PT)48.40%	+3.20 pts	Right bloc	71.88%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)53.47% Lula (PT)40.67% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.19% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.50% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.11% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.01%	+7.29 pts	Right bloc	79.06%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)61.37% José Serra (PSDB)38.63%	−22.74 pts	Left bloc	76.43%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.71% José Serra (PSDB)23.25% Garotinho (PSB)16.50% Ciro (PPS)9.39% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.15%	−53.50 pts	Left bloc	80.70%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)63.86% Lula (PT)24.72% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.54% Enéas (PRONA)1.45% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.63% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.57% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.53% Sirkis (PV)0.46% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.44% Eymael (PSDC)0.27% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.27% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.25%	+33.66 pts	Right bloc	89.28%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)61.00% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)25.13% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)6.15% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.30% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.27% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.07% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.61% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.46%	+47.19 pts	Right bloc	76.83%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2010(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Jardim immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.