MS · Paranaíba - Chapadão do Sul - Cassilândia immediate region

Inocência: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Inocência with 61.78% of valid votes against 38.22% for Lula: a margin of 23.57 points, 27.14 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +23.75pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 7,251; 56th largest electorate in Mato Grosso do Sul
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Mato Grosso do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Inocência+23.57 pts
Mato Grosso do Sul+19.20 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)61.78% Lula (PT)38.22%	+23.57 pts	Right bloc	64.43%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)60.59% Lula (PT)33.71% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.18% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.89% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.16% Zema (NOVO)0.20% Clariana Barao (DC)0.13% Samara (UP)0.11% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+27.94 pts	Right bloc	64.56%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)58.30% Lula (PT)41.70%	+16.60 pts	Right bloc	69.83%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)51.48% Lula (PT)40.28% Simone Tebet (MDB)6.38% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.12% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.34% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.27% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.11% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+17.15 pts	Right bloc	70.87%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)67.11% Fernando Haddad (PT)32.89%	+34.22 pts	Right bloc	62.89%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.83% Fernando Haddad (PT)23.42% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)13.99% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.10% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.46% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.39% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.91% Marina Silva (REDE)0.38% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.33% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.17% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00%	+39.82 pts	Right bloc	68.21%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)61.26% Dilma (PT)38.74%	+22.52 pts	Right bloc	67.69%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)46.99% Dilma (PT)36.67% Marina Silva (PSB)15.53% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.23% +5 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.21% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.18% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.14% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−5.30 pts	Left bloc	73.33%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)63.28% Dilma (PT)36.72%	+26.56 pts	Right bloc	65.47%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)55.36% Dilma (PT)33.92% Marina Silva (PV)10.23% Plínio (PSOL)0.42% +2 more Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.02%	+10.87 pts	Right bloc	74.03%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)67.55% Lula (PT)32.45%	+35.09 pts	Right bloc	69.44%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)70.55% Lula (PT)24.82% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.47% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.93% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.14% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.07% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	+41.57 pts	Right bloc	74.58%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)54.52% Lula (PT)45.48%	+9.04 pts	Right bloc	75.65%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)52.47% Lula (PT)31.43% Ciro (PPS)7.95% Garotinho (PSB)7.88% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.28%	+4.94 pts	Right bloc	80.30%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)81.01% Lula (PT)9.03% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.49% Enéas (PRONA)1.08% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.73% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.38% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.32% Sirkis (PV)0.32% Eymael (PSDC)0.20% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.20% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.17% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.06%	+65.75 pts	Right bloc	83.83%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)80.76% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)8.71% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.50% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.94% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.73% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.63% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.56% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.17%	+81.46 pts	Right bloc	75.95%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.