MS · Paranaíba - Chapadão do Sul - Cassilândia immediate region
Paraíso das Águas: how it voted for president
In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Paraíso das Águas with 73.57% of valid votes against 26.43% for Lula: a margin of 47.15 points, 50.72 points right of Brazil.
- Lean versus Brazil
- +43.76pts
- Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
- Electorate (2026)
- 4,335
- 74th largest electorate in Mato Grosso do Sul
- Side changes
- 0
- Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 5 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
- Bellwether?
- No
- Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.
On the map of Mato Grosso do Sul
2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.
Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.
Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).
Municipality, state and Brazil
Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.
- Paraíso das Águas+47.15 pts
- Mato Grosso do Sul+19.20 pts
- Brazil−3.57 pts
Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.
Margin over time
Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.
Every election
| Year | Round | Candidates (% of valid votes) | Margin (right − left) | Bloc ahead | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 10/25/2026 | Round 2 |
| +47.15 pts | Right bloc | 74.09% |
| 2026 10/04/2026 | Round 1 |
+8 more
| +50.44 pts | Right bloc | 73.33% |
| 2022 10/30/2022 | Round 2 |
| +44.39 pts | Right bloc | 70.98% |
| 2022 10/02/2022 | Round 1 |
+7 more
| +37.89 pts | Right bloc | 72.54% |
| 2018 10/28/2018 | Round 2 |
| +50.65 pts | Right bloc | 65.91% |
| 2018 10/07/2018 | Round 1 |
+9 more
| +56.51 pts | Right bloc | 71.32% |
| 2014 10/26/2014 | Round 2 |
| +12.13 pts | Right bloc | 69.14% |
| 2014 10/05/2014 | Round 1 |
+3 more
| −13.76 pts | Left bloc | 73.02% |
| 2010 10/31/2010 | Round 2 |
| +35.52 pts | Right bloc | 66.40% |
| 2010 10/03/2010 | Round 1 |
+3 more
| +26.54 pts | Right bloc | 78.13% |
Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.
When the municipality changed sides
- 2014(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
Other municipalities in the Paranaíba - Chapadão do Sul - Cassilândia immediate region
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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.