50mais1

SP · Marília immediate region

Alvinlândia: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Alvinlândia with 54.39% of valid votes against 45.61% for Lula: a margin of 8.79 points, 12.36 points right of Brazil.

Likely rightSwing
Lean versus Brazil
+10.74pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
2,636
591th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes
2
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Alvinlândia+8.79 pts
  • São Paulo+7.69 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.39%
  • Lula (PT)45.61%
+8.79 ptsRight bloc81.90%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.80%
  • Lula (PT)42.09%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.45%
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.20%
+8 more
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.20%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.15%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.10%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.00%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%
  • Samara (UP)0.00%
+13.21 ptsRight bloc79.84%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)52.88%
  • Lula (PT)47.12%
+5.76 ptsRight bloc78.58%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.17%
  • Lula (PT)45.68%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)3.24%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.32%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.40%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.10%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.10%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%
+6.02 ptsRight bloc76.22%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)61.97%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)38.03%
+23.95 ptsRight bloc73.40%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)53.48%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)27.60%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)8.15%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.70%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.25%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.20%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.05%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.99%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.37%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.16%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
  • Eymael (DC)0.00%
+32.25 ptsRight bloc74.81%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)52.29%
  • Dilma (PT)47.71%
+4.58 ptsRight bloc77.16%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)39.46%
  • Dilma (PT)35.39%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)23.63%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.46%
+7 more
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.41%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.41%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.25%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.00%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.00%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
−19.35 ptsLeft bloc79.44%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)59.18%
  • José Serra (PSDB)40.82%
−18.35 ptsLeft bloc78.38%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)54.28%
  • José Serra (PSDB)34.24%
  • Marina Silva (PV)11.32%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.16%
−31.53 ptsLeft bloc79.74%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)60.53%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)39.47%
−21.05 ptsLeft bloc78.68%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)49.81%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)43.21%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)5.95%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.76%
+2 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.16%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.11%
−13.04 ptsLeft bloc81.16%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)52.56%
  • Lula (PT)47.44%
+5.13 ptsRight bloc82.23%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)37.87%
  • José Serra (PSDB)35.13%
  • Garotinho (PSB)20.69%
  • Ciro (PPS)6.05%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.13%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.13%
−29.73 ptsLeft bloc83.19%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)69.69%
  • Lula (PT)16.01%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.71%
  • Enéas (PRONA)2.14%
+8 more
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.11%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.60%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.60%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.60%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.43%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.43%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.34%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.34%
+47.26 ptsRight bloc89.82%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)48.58%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)34.81%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)11.78%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.91%
+4 more
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.79%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.60%
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.40%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.13%
+75.25 ptsRight bloc80.46%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Marília immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.