SP · Marília immediate region

Marília: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Marília with 67.55% of valid votes against 32.45% for Lula: a margin of 35.09 points, 38.66 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +42.99pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 172,930; 35th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Marília+35.09 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)67.55% Lula (PT)32.45%	+35.09 pts	Right bloc	79.77%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)66.36% Lula (PT)25.88% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.76% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.52% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.00% Zema (NOVO)0.24% Samara (UP)0.11% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.05% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+42.33 pts	Right bloc	76.57%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)69.43% Lula (PT)30.57%	+38.85 pts	Right bloc	77.76%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)62.87% Lula (PT)28.50% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.61% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.92% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.49% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.39% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.07% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Léo Péricles (UP)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	+36.88 pts	Right bloc	76.77%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)80.00% Fernando Haddad (PT)20.00%	+59.99 pts	Right bloc	76.29%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)66.77% Ciro Gomes (PDT)9.28% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)8.70% Fernando Haddad (PT)8.11% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.03% Marina Silva (REDE)1.10% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.90% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.84% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.69% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.45% Eymael (DC)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04%	+61.95 pts	Right bloc	76.79%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)75.28% Dilma (PT)24.72%	+50.57 pts	Right bloc	78.51%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)49.50% Marina Silva (PSB)30.08% Dilma (PT)16.98% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.79% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.68% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.44% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.41% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+0.72 pts	Right bloc	78.89%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)65.68% Dilma (PT)34.32%	+31.37 pts	Right bloc	79.70%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)48.00% Dilma (PT)26.98% Marina Silva (PV)23.81% Plínio (PSOL)1.00% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−3.79 pts	Left bloc	81.71%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)59.82% Lula (PT)40.18%	+19.63 pts	Right bloc	81.16%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)61.64% Lula (PT)27.00% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)9.20% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.00% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.07% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	+23.59 pts	Right bloc	82.35%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.58% José Serra (PSDB)43.42%	−13.15 pts	Left bloc	82.87%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.00% José Serra (PSDB)27.61% Garotinho (PSB)14.35% Ciro (PPS)9.49% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.52% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−44.77 pts	Left bloc	83.02%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)71.69% Lula (PT)20.64% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.57% Enéas (PRONA)1.38% +8 more Sirkis (PV)0.14% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.14% Eymael (PSDC)0.13% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.11% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.07% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.06% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.04% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.03%	+46.76 pts	Right bloc	82.50%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)64.54% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)22.33% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.42% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.06% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.58% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.48% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.36% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.25%	+54.40 pts	Right bloc	88.04%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Marília immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.