SP · Bauru immediate region

Arealva: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Arealva with 67.48% of valid votes against 32.52% for Lula: a margin of 34.95 points, 38.52 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +37.68pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 6,342; 406th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Arealva+34.95 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)67.48% Lula (PT)32.52%	+34.95 pts	Right bloc	77.80%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)67.04% Lula (PT)27.14% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.30% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.86% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.48% Samara (UP)0.09% Zema (NOVO)0.07% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+40.90 pts	Right bloc	75.53%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)65.53% Lula (PT)34.47%	+31.06 pts	Right bloc	78.33%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)60.51% Lula (PT)33.12% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.94% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.85% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.28% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.23% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+30.01 pts	Right bloc	77.21%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)75.51% Fernando Haddad (PT)24.49%	+51.01 pts	Right bloc	76.45%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)61.43% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)13.95% Fernando Haddad (PT)11.81% Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.39% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.23% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.89% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.39% Marina Silva (REDE)0.30% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.23% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.21% Eymael (DC)0.11% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.02%	+58.47 pts	Right bloc	76.54%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)69.67% Dilma (PT)30.33%	+39.34 pts	Right bloc	79.14%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)56.72% Dilma (PT)24.03% Marina Silva (PSB)16.84% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.84% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.54% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.50% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.41% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02% Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	+15.39 pts	Right bloc	79.31%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)59.71% Dilma (PT)40.29%	+19.42 pts	Right bloc	81.18%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)50.88% Dilma (PT)34.76% Marina Silva (PV)13.59% Plínio (PSOL)0.68% +3 more Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.02%	+1.89 pts	Right bloc	81.01%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)66.44% Lula (PT)33.56%	+32.89 pts	Right bloc	84.81%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)71.60% Lula (PT)22.56% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.01% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.67% +2 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.09% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.07%	+43.51 pts	Right bloc	85.40%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)56.83% Lula (PT)43.17%	+13.65 pts	Right bloc	87.22%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)46.67% Lula (PT)36.76% Garotinho (PSB)9.00% Ciro (PPS)7.25% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.31% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−6.66 pts	Left bloc	88.47%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)72.46% Lula (PT)16.70% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.81% Enéas (PRONA)1.71% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.40% Sirkis (PV)0.37% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.31% Eymael (PSDC)0.31% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.26% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.26% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.20% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.20%	+50.51 pts	Right bloc	83.18%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)61.94% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)17.69% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.89% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.06% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.89% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.22% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.17% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.14%	+67.94 pts	Right bloc	85.70%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

Other municipalities in the Bauru immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.