SP · Bauru immediate region

Avaí: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Avaí with 51.23% of valid votes against 48.77% for Lula: a margin of 2.46 points, 6.03 points right of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +6.81pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,189; 498th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 4; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Avaí+2.46 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)51.23% Lula (PT)48.77%	+2.46 pts	Right bloc	75.96%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)51.09% Lula (PT)43.53% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.08% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.68% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.44% Zema (NOVO)0.10% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Samara (UP)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+8.70 pts	Right bloc	74.58%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.45% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.55%	−0.89 pts	Left bloc	75.78%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.96% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)44.64% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.32% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.35% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.49% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.13% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−0.69 pts	Left bloc	75.78%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.38% Fernando Haddad (PT)41.62%	+16.76 pts	Right bloc	72.71%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)48.51% Fernando Haddad (PT)27.05% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)14.48% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.38% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.22% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.94% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.83% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.59% Marina Silva (REDE)0.52% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.38% Eymael (DC)0.07% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	+32.85 pts	Right bloc	74.26%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)62.50% Dilma (PT)37.50%	+25.00 pts	Right bloc	77.28%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)43.83% Dilma (PT)27.75% Marina Silva (PSB)26.03% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.89% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.66% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.53% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.17% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−10.88 pts	Left bloc	80.95%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)52.55% Dilma (PT)47.45%	+5.10 pts	Right bloc	80.05%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)41.27% Dilma (PT)39.31% Marina Silva (PV)18.52% Plínio (PSOL)0.67% +3 more Eymael (PSDC)0.13% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03%	−17.06 pts	Left bloc	84.64%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.15% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)48.85%	−2.30 pts	Left bloc	75.07%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)54.39% Lula (PT)40.04% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.86% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.60% +3 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.03%	+8.98 pts	Right bloc	78.84%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)57.37% José Serra (PSDB)42.63%	−14.74 pts	Left bloc	75.36%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)43.98% José Serra (PSDB)25.06% Garotinho (PSB)21.90% Ciro (PPS)8.93% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.11% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−49.89 pts	Left bloc	81.10%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)61.11% Lula (PT)24.46% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.94% Enéas (PRONA)3.64% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.93% Eymael (PSDC)0.89% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.55% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.42% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.34% Sirkis (PV)0.30% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.21% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.21%	+33.90 pts	Right bloc	75.01%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)50.32% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)25.90% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)11.94% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)9.23% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.72% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.68% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.63% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.59%	+47.03 pts	Right bloc	80.48%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Bauru immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.