50mais1

SP · Piracicaba immediate region

Capivari: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Capivari with 66.26% of valid votes against 33.74% for Lula: a margin of 32.52 points, 36.09 points right of Brazil.

Solid right
Lean versus Brazil
+41.87pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
37,608
137th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes
0
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Capivari+32.52 pts
  • São Paulo+7.69 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)66.26%
  • Lula (PT)33.74%
+32.52 ptsRight bloc82.58%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)65.01%
  • Lula (PT)26.72%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.22%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.53%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.10%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.21%
  • Samara (UP)0.12%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.03%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%
+39.76 ptsRight bloc80.36%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)68.35%
  • Lula (PT)31.65%
+36.70 ptsRight bloc79.56%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)61.63%
  • Lula (PT)29.43%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)4.94%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.79%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.55%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.48%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.07%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.02%
+35.36 ptsRight bloc78.36%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)79.90%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)20.10%
+59.80 ptsRight bloc78.27%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)66.92%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)9.88%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)9.37%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.35%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.96%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.93%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.80%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.74%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.61%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.29%
  • Eymael (DC)0.09%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.01%
+64.27 ptsRight bloc78.76%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)78.24%
  • Dilma (PT)21.76%
+56.47 ptsRight bloc80.03%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)59.14%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)22.28%
  • Dilma (PT)15.03%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.48%
+7 more
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.97%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.57%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.42%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.05%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
+20.36 ptsRight bloc80.80%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)66.68%
  • Dilma (PT)33.32%
+33.36 ptsRight bloc80.89%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • José Serra (PSDB)52.19%
  • Dilma (PT)26.98%
  • Marina Silva (PV)19.90%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.71%
+5 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.08%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
+4.65 ptsRight bloc82.74%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)64.78%
  • Lula (PT)35.22%
+29.56 ptsRight bloc83.26%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)68.28%
  • Lula (PT)24.04%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)5.23%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.27%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.10%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04%
+36.92 ptsRight bloc84.15%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)54.84%
  • Lula (PT)45.16%
+9.69 ptsRight bloc84.14%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)37.30%
  • José Serra (PSDB)36.32%
  • Garotinho (PSB)16.03%
  • Ciro (PPS)9.79%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.54%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%
−27.36 ptsLeft bloc83.01%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)65.15%
  • Lula (PT)20.03%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)8.61%
  • Enéas (PRONA)3.35%
+8 more
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.61%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.53%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.37%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.34%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.29%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.24%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.24%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.23%
+39.69 ptsRight bloc87.16%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)61.51%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)17.76%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)9.10%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)8.83%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.46%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.55%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.48%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.30%
+63.37 ptsRight bloc90.31%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Piracicaba immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.