50mais1

SP · Piracicaba immediate region

Rafard: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Rafard with 68.47% of valid votes against 31.53% for Lula: a margin of 36.94 points, 40.51 points right of Brazil.

Solid right
Lean versus Brazil
+43.94pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
7,253
380th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes
0
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Rafard+36.94 pts
  • São Paulo+7.69 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)68.47%
  • Lula (PT)31.53%
+36.94 ptsRight bloc84.90%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)67.53%
  • Lula (PT)25.10%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.73%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.43%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.70%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.26%
  • Samara (UP)0.16%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.05%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.02%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
+43.99 ptsRight bloc83.37%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)69.28%
  • Lula (PT)30.72%
+38.56 ptsRight bloc81.48%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)64.13%
  • Lula (PT)28.03%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)4.49%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.18%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.49%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.46%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.09%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.07%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.02%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%
+39.31 ptsRight bloc80.71%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)81.07%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)18.93%
+62.15 ptsRight bloc80.88%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)67.35%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)10.97%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)10.12%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.88%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.02%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.05%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.84%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.66%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.59%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.46%
  • Eymael (DC)0.05%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%
+63.68 ptsRight bloc81.02%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)74.61%
  • Dilma (PT)25.39%
+49.22 ptsRight bloc84.03%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)57.11%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)20.83%
  • Dilma (PT)18.96%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.07%
+7 more
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.90%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.76%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.26%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.03%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
+16.61 ptsRight bloc84.27%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)64.06%
  • Dilma (PT)35.94%
+28.12 ptsRight bloc84.12%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • José Serra (PSDB)51.40%
  • Dilma (PT)30.32%
  • Marina Silva (PV)17.16%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.83%
+4 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.11%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04%
+3.17 ptsRight bloc85.59%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)59.78%
  • Lula (PT)40.22%
+19.56 ptsRight bloc87.36%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)64.35%
  • Lula (PT)29.45%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.03%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.94%
+2 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.15%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.08%
+29.16 ptsRight bloc88.55%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)50.36%
  • Lula (PT)49.64%
+0.71 ptsRight bloc83.25%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)41.33%
  • José Serra (PSDB)32.53%
  • Garotinho (PSB)16.53%
  • Ciro (PPS)8.81%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.78%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
−34.94 ptsLeft bloc83.60%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)59.68%
  • Lula (PT)23.01%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)9.38%
  • Enéas (PRONA)3.58%
+8 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.90%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.80%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.56%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.56%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.49%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.39%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.37%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.29%
+31.29 ptsRight bloc83.94%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)56.30%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)17.91%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)12.94%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)10.46%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.20%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.44%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.40%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.36%
+63.29 ptsRight bloc87.61%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Piracicaba immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.