SP · Andradina immediate region
Ilha Solteira: how it voted for president
In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Ilha Solteira with 54.94% of valid votes against 45.06% for Lula: a margin of 9.87 points, 13.44 points right of Brazil.
- Lean versus Brazil
- +16.75pts
- Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
- Electorate (2026)
- 20,253
- 209th largest electorate in São Paulo
- Side changes
- 2
- Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
- Bellwether?
- No
- Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.
On the map of São Paulo
2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.
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Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).
Municipality, state and Brazil
Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.
- Ilha Solteira+9.87 pts
- São Paulo+7.69 pts
- Brazil−3.57 pts
Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.
Margin over time
Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.
Every election
| Year | Round | Candidates (% of valid votes) | Margin (right − left) | Bloc ahead | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 10/25/2026 | Round 2 |
| +9.87 pts | Right bloc | 73.53% |
| 2026 10/04/2026 | Round 1 |
+8 more
| +17.95 pts | Right bloc | 70.13% |
| 2022 10/30/2022 | Round 2 |
| +12.04 pts | Right bloc | 71.86% |
| 2022 10/02/2022 | Round 1 |
+7 more
| +14.99 pts | Right bloc | 70.40% |
| 2018 10/28/2018 | Round 2 |
| +35.35 pts | Right bloc | 68.66% |
| 2018 10/07/2018 | Round 1 |
+9 more
| +37.73 pts | Right bloc | 69.02% |
| 2014 10/26/2014 | Round 2 |
| +18.75 pts | Right bloc | 71.59% |
| 2014 10/05/2014 | Round 1 |
+7 more
| −27.09 pts | Left bloc | 72.16% |
| 2010 10/31/2010 | Round 2 |
| −7.03 pts | Left bloc | 73.91% |
| 2010 10/03/2010 | Round 1 |
+4 more
| −37.42 pts | Left bloc | 75.55% |
| 2006 10/29/2006 | Round 2 |
| −9.71 pts | Left bloc | 74.90% |
| 2006 10/01/2006 | Round 1 |
+3 more
| −9.35 pts | Left bloc | 76.00% |
| 2002 10/27/2002 | Round 2 |
| −13.73 pts | Left bloc | 77.46% |
| 2002 10/06/2002 | Round 1 |
+2 more
| −58.80 pts | Left bloc | 79.24% |
| 1998 10/04/1998 | Round 1 |
+8 more
| +1.63 pts | Right bloc | 80.34% |
| 1994 10/03/1994 | Round 1 |
+4 more
| +40.79 pts | Right bloc | 85.69% |
Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.
When the municipality changed sides
- 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
- 2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
- 2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
Other municipalities in the Andradina immediate region
Find another municipality
Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.