50mais1

SP · Andradina immediate region

Ilha Solteira: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Ilha Solteira with 54.94% of valid votes against 45.06% for Lula: a margin of 9.87 points, 13.44 points right of Brazil.

Solid rightSwing
Lean versus Brazil
+16.75pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
20,253
209th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes
2
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Ilha Solteira+9.87 pts
  • São Paulo+7.69 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.94%
  • Lula (PT)45.06%
+9.87 ptsRight bloc73.53%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.20%
  • Lula (PT)37.70%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.07%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.48%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.98%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.27%
  • Samara (UP)0.13%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.05%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.02%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02%
+17.95 ptsRight bloc70.13%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)56.02%
  • Lula (PT)43.98%
+12.04 ptsRight bloc71.86%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.71%
  • Lula (PT)39.75%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)7.08%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.64%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.38%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.24%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.07%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.03%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.01%
+14.99 ptsRight bloc70.40%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)67.67%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)32.33%
+35.35 ptsRight bloc68.66%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)54.83%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)15.95%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)13.13%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.97%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.81%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)1.22%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.12%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.07%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.03%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.74%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.08%
  • Eymael (DC)0.04%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.02%
+37.73 ptsRight bloc69.02%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)59.37%
  • Dilma (PT)40.63%
+18.75 ptsRight bloc71.59%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)35.62%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)31.19%
  • Dilma (PT)29.12%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)2.15%
+7 more
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)1.01%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.50%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.32%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.01%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.01%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
−27.09 ptsLeft bloc72.16%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)53.52%
  • José Serra (PSDB)46.48%
−7.03 ptsLeft bloc73.91%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)41.72%
  • José Serra (PSDB)31.18%
  • Marina Silva (PV)26.31%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.62%
+4 more
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.05%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02%
−37.42 ptsLeft bloc75.55%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)54.86%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.14%
−9.71 ptsLeft bloc74.90%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.07%
  • Lula (PT)40.07%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)10.88%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.73%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.18%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03%
−9.35 ptsLeft bloc76.00%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)56.86%
  • José Serra (PSDB)43.14%
−13.73 ptsLeft bloc77.46%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)45.40%
  • Garotinho (PSB)21.13%
  • José Serra (PSDB)20.60%
  • Ciro (PPS)12.43%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.43%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−58.80 ptsLeft bloc79.24%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)47.02%
  • Lula (PT)38.17%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.08%
  • Enéas (PRONA)2.91%
+8 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.34%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.31%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.28%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.25%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.20%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.20%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.13%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.11%
+1.63 ptsRight bloc80.34%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)52.77%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)29.40%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)10.05%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)5.59%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.50%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.32%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.20%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.16%
+40.79 ptsRight bloc85.69%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Andradina immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.