SP · Andradina immediate region

Nova Independência: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Nova Independência with 56.59% of valid votes against 43.41% for Lula: a margin of 13.18 points, 16.75 points right of Brazil.

Likely rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +13.76pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,504; 538th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Nova Independência+13.18 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)56.59% Lula (PT)43.41%	+13.18 pts	Right bloc	80.82%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)57.83% Lula (PT)37.66% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.83% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.24% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.20% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.08% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.08% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Zema (NOVO)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+20.69 pts	Right bloc	75.24%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)54.40% Lula (PT)45.60%	+8.80 pts	Right bloc	81.07%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.36% Lula (PT)45.65% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.43% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.16% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.20% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.12% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.04% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+6.30 pts	Right bloc	80.30%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)62.05% Fernando Haddad (PT)37.95%	+24.09 pts	Right bloc	84.56%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)48.59% Fernando Haddad (PT)25.61% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)15.51% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.26% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.02% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.94% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.70% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.66% Marina Silva (REDE)0.52% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.09% Vera (PSTU)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05% Eymael (DC)0.00%	+36.84 pts	Right bloc	85.47%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)53.94% Dilma (PT)46.06%	+7.87 pts	Right bloc	79.60%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)36.87% Dilma (PT)34.30% Marina Silva (PSB)26.98% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.77% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.50% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.36% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.14% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−25.17 pts	Left bloc	81.84%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)57.24% José Serra (PSDB)42.76%	−14.47 pts	Left bloc	82.35%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)47.62% José Serra (PSDB)37.70% Marina Silva (PV)14.10% Plínio (PSOL)0.48% +1 more Eymael (PSDC)0.11%	−24.39 pts	Left bloc	85.55%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.08% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)48.92%	−2.16 pts	Left bloc	86.29%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)51.46% Lula (PT)44.95% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.66% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.86% +1 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.07%	+3.05 pts	Right bloc	87.38%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)50.27% Lula (PT)49.73%	+0.55 pts	Right bloc	73.30%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.22% José Serra (PSDB)41.19% Garotinho (PSB)7.76% Ciro (PPS)4.69% +1 more Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.14%	−17.62 pts	Left bloc	75.44%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)47.93% Lula (PT)39.57% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.81% Enéas (PRONA)2.41% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.69% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.60% Sirkis (PV)0.52% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.43% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.34% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.34% Eymael (PSDC)0.26% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.09%	+3.28 pts	Right bloc	75.27%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)48.27% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)37.99% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.35% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)5.18% +3 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)2.30% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.66% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.25%	+22.70 pts	Right bloc	82.70%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Andradina immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.