SP · Marília immediate region

Lupércio: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Lupércio with 51.18% of valid votes against 48.82% for Lula: a margin of 2.36 points, 5.93 points right of Brazil.

Likely right

Lean versus Brazil: +10.82pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,317; 550th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Lupércio+2.36 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)51.18% Lula (PT)48.82%	+2.36 pts	Right bloc	77.90%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.38% Lula (PT)41.41% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.04% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.58% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.42% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.08% Zema (NOVO)0.04% Samara (UP)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+13.76 pts	Right bloc	76.24%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)53.06% Lula (PT)46.94%	+6.12 pts	Right bloc	77.71%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)47.82% Lula (PT)46.42% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.09% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.05% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.47% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.08% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.04% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+4.90 pts	Right bloc	77.13%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)64.99% Fernando Haddad (PT)35.01%	+29.97 pts	Right bloc	72.56%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)54.24% Fernando Haddad (PT)23.20% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)12.21% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.78% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.64% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.64% Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.13% Marina Silva (REDE)0.96% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.84% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.25% Eymael (DC)0.08% Vera (PSTU)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+43.54 pts	Right bloc	73.21%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)59.01% Dilma (PT)40.99%	+18.03 pts	Right bloc	74.80%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)42.64% Dilma (PT)29.56% Marina Silva (PSB)26.39% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.57% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.27% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.23% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.19% Eymael (PSDC)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−13.58 pts	Left bloc	76.08%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)54.62% José Serra (PSDB)45.38%	−9.24 pts	Left bloc	76.47%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)46.78% José Serra (PSDB)42.10% Marina Silva (PV)10.17% Plínio (PSOL)0.96%	−15.80 pts	Left bloc	77.87%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)60.33% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)39.67%	−20.67 pts	Left bloc	78.21%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.26% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)46.40% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.25% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.10%	−7.20 pts	Left bloc	78.79%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.71% José Serra (PSDB)44.29%	−11.42 pts	Left bloc	77.78%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.29% José Serra (PSDB)36.63% Garotinho (PSB)13.30% Ciro (PPS)3.59% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.19%	−26.74 pts	Left bloc	78.46%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)69.56% Lula (PT)17.77% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.68% Enéas (PRONA)1.91% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.73% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.62% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.39% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.39% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.34% Eymael (PSDC)0.28% Sirkis (PV)0.22% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.11%	+45.18 pts	Right bloc	77.06%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)59.46% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)17.04% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)16.60% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.45% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.07% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.88% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.25% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.25%	+66.29 pts	Right bloc	81.26%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Marília immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.