SP · Presidente Epitácio-Presidente Venceslau immediate region

Marabá Paulista: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Marabá Paulista with 52.57% of valid votes against 47.43% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 5.13 points, 1.56 points left of Brazil.

Likely left

Lean versus Brazil: −9.11pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,188; 557th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Marabá Paulista−5.13 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.57% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.43%	−5.13 pts	Left bloc	75.63%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.40% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)46.03% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.85% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.61% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.88% Zema (NOVO)0.18% Samara (UP)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−2.12 pts	Left bloc	70.51%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.61% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)40.39%	−19.21 pts	Left bloc	75.10%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)58.47% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)35.84% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.41% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.84% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.22% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.13% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−20.97 pts	Left bloc	75.01%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)52.04% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)47.96%	−4.09 pts	Left bloc	68.45%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)39.94% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)36.08% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)14.40% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.53% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.20% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.60% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.41% Marina Silva (REDE)0.37% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.37% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.09% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+6.12 pts	Right bloc	71.19%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)53.61% Aécio Neves (PSDB)46.39%	−7.22 pts	Left bloc	69.08%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)45.45% Aécio Neves (PSDB)38.33% Marina Silva (PSB)15.04% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.38% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.29% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.21% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.17% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−22.49 pts	Left bloc	71.45%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)56.84% José Serra (PSDB)43.16%	−13.69 pts	Left bloc	72.68%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)50.10% José Serra (PSDB)35.86% Marina Silva (PV)13.42% Plínio (PSOL)0.49% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.12%	−28.27 pts	Left bloc	75.60%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)51.25% Lula (PT)48.75%	+2.49 pts	Right bloc	79.63%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)57.64% Lula (PT)36.41% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.52% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.35% +1 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08%	+15.44 pts	Right bloc	82.46%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)59.36% Lula (PT)40.64%	+18.73 pts	Right bloc	76.20%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)43.45% Lula (PT)33.22% Ciro (PPS)14.36% Garotinho (PSB)8.60% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.37%	−13.10 pts	Left bloc	79.35%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)71.54% Lula (PT)16.96% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.32% Enéas (PRONA)1.42% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.76% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.65% Sirkis (PV)0.65% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.49% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.44% Eymael (PSDC)0.33% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.33% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.11%	+48.75 pts	Right bloc	79.11%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)66.83% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)14.05% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)13.99% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.83% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.03% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.54% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.42% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.30%	+71.41 pts	Right bloc	86.48%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2010(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Presidente Epitácio-Presidente Venceslau immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.