SP · Marília immediate region

Ocauçu: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Ocauçu with 58.73% of valid votes against 41.27% for Lula: a margin of 17.45 points, 21.02 points right of Brazil.

Solid rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +16.76pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,442; 541th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Ocauçu+17.45 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)58.73% Lula (PT)41.27%	+17.45 pts	Right bloc	80.68%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)58.82% Lula (PT)35.53% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.11% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.03% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.43% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.04% Zema (NOVO)0.04% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+24.80 pts	Right bloc	76.32%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)55.68% Lula (PT)44.32%	+11.35 pts	Right bloc	82.78%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.80% Lula (PT)44.19% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.57% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.57% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.51% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.24% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.08% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+8.41 pts	Right bloc	81.59%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)60.99% Fernando Haddad (PT)39.01%	+21.97 pts	Right bloc	85.37%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)49.85% Fernando Haddad (PT)24.37% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)11.58% Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.41% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.46% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.33% Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.16% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.03% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.30% Marina Silva (REDE)0.26% Vera (PSTU)0.13% Eymael (DC)0.13% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+33.08 pts	Right bloc	86.31%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)58.69% Dilma (PT)41.31%	+17.37 pts	Right bloc	76.83%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)51.97% Dilma (PT)33.32% Marina Silva (PSB)13.05% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.89% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.48% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.12% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.00% Eymael (PSDC)0.00%	+4.03 pts	Right bloc	78.77%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)54.68% Dilma (PT)45.32%	+9.37 pts	Right bloc	78.93%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)46.12% Dilma (PT)36.19% Marina Silva (PV)16.45% Plínio (PSOL)0.91% +3 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.21% Eymael (PSDC)0.08% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−7.60 pts	Left bloc	81.10%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.41% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)49.59%	−0.81 pts	Left bloc	83.95%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)53.51% Lula (PT)38.78% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)5.29% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.22% +1 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.21%	+7.43 pts	Right bloc	86.38%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.88% José Serra (PSDB)49.12%	−1.75 pts	Left bloc	71.84%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)41.65% José Serra (PSDB)31.68% Garotinho (PSB)15.24% Ciro (PPS)11.13% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.30%	−36.64 pts	Left bloc	74.90%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)70.78% Lula (PT)14.07% Ciro Gomes (PPS)9.08% Enéas (PRONA)2.59% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.80% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.56% Eymael (PSDC)0.42% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.42% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.38% Sirkis (PV)0.38% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.28% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.24%	+49.46 pts	Right bloc	73.48%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)68.37% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.26% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)9.38% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.51% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.24% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.51% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.51% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.23%	+68.46 pts	Right bloc	77.23%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Marília immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.