50mais1

SP · Santos immediate region

São Vicente: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won São Vicente with 50.37% of valid votes against 49.63% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 0.75 points, 2.82 points right of Brazil.

Likely rightSwing
Lean versus Brazil
+9.91pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
256,038
22th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes
3
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Has voted for the national winner since 2026.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • São Vicente−0.75 pts
  • São Paulo+7.69 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)50.37%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)49.63%
−0.75 ptsLeft bloc76.95%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)49.00%
  • Lula (PT)41.32%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.40%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)3.38%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.27%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.25%
  • Samara (UP)0.20%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.06%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.05%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
+9.96 ptsRight bloc73.82%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)54.09%
  • Lula (PT)45.91%
+8.18 ptsRight bloc76.95%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)47.08%
  • Lula (PT)42.75%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)5.26%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.47%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.72%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.47%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.08%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.06%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.03%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.02%
+7.23 ptsRight bloc77.68%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)66.48%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)33.52%
+32.95 ptsRight bloc76.36%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)53.35%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)16.27%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)11.00%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)10.78%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.79%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.90%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)1.53%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.91%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.73%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.62%
  • Eymael (DC)0.05%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.04%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%
+41.01 ptsRight bloc76.09%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)54.60%
  • Dilma (PT)45.40%
+9.20 ptsRight bloc78.69%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Marina Silva (PSB)36.62%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)30.25%
  • Dilma (PT)28.02%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)2.44%
+7 more
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.98%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.81%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.72%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.04%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−36.00 ptsLeft bloc80.30%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)53.09%
  • José Serra (PSDB)46.91%
−6.18 ptsLeft bloc81.39%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)40.42%
  • José Serra (PSDB)31.52%
  • Marina Silva (PV)26.83%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.98%
+5 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.07%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−36.70 ptsLeft bloc83.17%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)59.49%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)40.51%
−18.98 ptsLeft bloc84.24%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)45.28%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)42.55%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)10.38%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.53%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.11%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.10%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06%
−14.38 ptsLeft bloc85.54%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)62.97%
  • José Serra (PSDB)37.03%
−25.94 ptsLeft bloc84.74%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)45.87%
  • Garotinho (PSB)26.24%
  • José Serra (PSDB)15.85%
  • Ciro (PPS)11.33%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.66%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%
−68.29 ptsLeft bloc85.65%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)58.75%
  • Lula (PT)28.06%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)9.65%
  • Enéas (PRONA)2.29%
+8 more
  • Sirkis (PV)0.24%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.24%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.23%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.14%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.14%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.13%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.08%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.04%
+23.40 ptsRight bloc83.49%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)55.54%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)24.51%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)14.24%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.52%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)2.13%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.43%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.35%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.28%
+50.13 ptsRight bloc88.46%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2014(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2026(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Santos immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.