RS · Caxias do Sul immediate region

Gramado: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Gramado with 75.67% of valid votes against 24.33% for Lula: a margin of 51.34 points, 54.91 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +54.24pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 34,787; 50th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Gramado+51.34 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)75.67% Lula (PT)24.33%	+51.34 pts	Right bloc	79.66%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)72.54% Lula (PT)19.68% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.81% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.51% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.98% Zema (NOVO)0.29% Samara (UP)0.11% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+54.72 pts	Right bloc	78.17%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)74.83% Lula (PT)25.17%	+49.66 pts	Right bloc	80.00%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)68.13% Lula (PT)23.74% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.36% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.47% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.79% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.36% Léo Péricles (UP)0.06% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	+47.39 pts	Right bloc	78.85%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)82.50% Fernando Haddad (PT)17.50%	+65.00 pts	Right bloc	79.68%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)68.83% Fernando Haddad (PT)8.03% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.54% João Amoêdo (NOVO)6.24% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)5.40% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.96% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.72% Marina Silva (REDE)0.51% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.39% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.29% Eymael (DC)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.02%	+67.14 pts	Right bloc	80.55%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)77.77% Dilma (PT)22.23%	+55.55 pts	Right bloc	82.06%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)64.58% Dilma (PT)20.29% Marina Silva (PSB)12.31% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.15% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.99% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.37% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.23% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02% Eymael (PSDC)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+30.40 pts	Right bloc	83.91%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)69.10% Dilma (PT)30.90%	+38.21 pts	Right bloc	83.05%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)58.64% Dilma (PT)28.58% Marina Silva (PV)11.84% Plínio (PSOL)0.77% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.08% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+17.50 pts	Right bloc	85.89%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)74.24% Lula (PT)25.76%	+48.48 pts	Right bloc	85.83%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)75.50% Lula (PT)17.48% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.94% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.87% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.11% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03%	+51.40 pts	Right bloc	87.41%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)59.98% Lula (PT)40.02%	+19.96 pts	Right bloc	88.83%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)49.00% Lula (PT)31.70% Garotinho (PSB)9.74% Ciro (PPS)9.20% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.30% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−1.99 pts	Left bloc	89.74%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)59.27% Lula (PT)27.86% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.35% Enéas (PRONA)3.63% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.43% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.30% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.28% Sirkis (PV)0.24% Eymael (PSDC)0.23% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.19% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.12% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.08%	+27.24 pts	Right bloc	89.77%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)50.84% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)18.05% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)10.94% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)9.12% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)7.60% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.01% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.23% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.19%	+48.69 pts	Right bloc	91.92%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

Other municipalities in the Caxias do Sul immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.