RS · Caxias do Sul immediate region

Vale Real: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Vale Real with 69.48% of valid votes against 30.52% for Lula: a margin of 38.95 points, 42.52 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +36.91pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,870; 243th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Vale Real+38.95 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)69.48% Lula (PT)30.52%	+38.95 pts	Right bloc	86.10%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)64.25% Lula (PT)25.09% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)4.24% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.69% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.27% Zema (NOVO)0.30% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.05% Clariana Barao (DC)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+42.29 pts	Right bloc	85.28%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)66.29% Lula (PT)33.71%	+32.58 pts	Right bloc	86.14%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)58.42% Lula (PT)34.04% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.46% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.55% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.99% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.48% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	+28.77 pts	Right bloc	84.95%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)73.11% Fernando Haddad (PT)26.89%	+46.21 pts	Right bloc	87.78%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)61.04% Fernando Haddad (PT)18.16% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.48% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)5.70% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.44% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)2.66% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.56% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.37% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.29% Marina Silva (REDE)0.19% Vera (PSTU)0.11% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+47.54 pts	Right bloc	88.79%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)60.36% Dilma (PT)39.64%	+20.72 pts	Right bloc	93.17%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)47.98% Dilma (PT)44.38% Marina Silva (PSB)6.05% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.68% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.34% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.34% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.14% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−3.01 pts	Left bloc	94.25%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)51.36% José Serra (PSDB)48.64%	−2.71 pts	Left bloc	87.36%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)53.80% José Serra (PSDB)41.61% Marina Silva (PV)3.90% Plínio (PSOL)0.34% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.23% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−16.26 pts	Left bloc	89.76%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)65.11% Lula (PT)34.89%	+30.22 pts	Right bloc	88.03%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)67.15% Lula (PT)27.10% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.11% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.45% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.10% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.07% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	+34.68 pts	Right bloc	88.85%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)57.27% Lula (PT)42.73%	+14.55 pts	Right bloc	90.40%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)54.79% Lula (PT)34.51% Ciro (PPS)5.24% Garotinho (PSB)5.16% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.19% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.11%	+9.58 pts	Right bloc	91.57%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)65.66% Lula (PT)24.02% Ciro Gomes (PPS)4.28% Enéas (PRONA)3.62% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)0.60% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.56% Sirkis (PV)0.33% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.28% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.19% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.19% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.14% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.14%	+40.99 pts	Right bloc	92.38%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)57.95% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.26% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)8.87% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.14% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)6.39% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.00% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.22% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.16%	+56.71 pts	Right bloc	93.16%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2010(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Caxias do Sul immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.