RS · Caxias do Sul immediate region

São Francisco de Paula: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won São Francisco de Paula with 56.10% of valid votes against 43.90% for Lula: a margin of 12.21 points, 15.78 points right of Brazil.

Likely rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +9.59pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 16,421; 103th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Sul
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Rio Grande do Sul

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

São Francisco de Paula+12.21 pts
Rio Grande do Sul+15.67 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)56.10% Lula (PT)43.90%	+12.21 pts	Right bloc	79.56%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)55.01% Lula (PT)37.82% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.77% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.31% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.69% Zema (NOVO)0.26% Samara (UP)0.11% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+18.55 pts	Right bloc	77.99%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)51.71% Lula (PT)48.29%	+3.41 pts	Right bloc	82.51%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.18% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.58% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.74% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.62% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.46% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.30% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	−1.69 pts	Left bloc	81.86%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)56.10% Fernando Haddad (PT)43.90%	+12.20 pts	Right bloc	85.29%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)44.47% Fernando Haddad (PT)30.12% Ciro Gomes (PDT)11.03% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)8.18% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)2.24% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.95% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.60% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.59% Marina Silva (REDE)0.47% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.24% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.02%	+15.42 pts	Right bloc	86.68%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)54.98% Dilma (PT)45.02%	+9.96 pts	Right bloc	81.21%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)46.90% Aécio Neves (PSDB)42.25% Marina Silva (PSB)8.44% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.94% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.71% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.46% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.20% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02%	−13.63 pts	Left bloc	82.93%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)58.60% Dilma (PT)41.40%	+17.19 pts	Right bloc	84.57%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)50.40% Dilma (PT)42.91% Marina Silva (PV)5.93% Plínio (PSOL)0.55% +4 more Eymael (PSDC)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02%	+1.07 pts	Right bloc	87.39%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)61.62% Lula (PT)38.38%	+23.24 pts	Right bloc	80.43%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)62.45% Lula (PT)31.19% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.12% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.00% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.14% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	+25.39 pts	Right bloc	83.11%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)57.61% Lula (PT)42.39%	+15.22 pts	Right bloc	81.73%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)48.43% Lula (PT)34.27% Garotinho (PSB)9.70% Ciro (PPS)7.31% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.25% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−3.14 pts	Left bloc	84.37%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)53.64% Lula (PT)33.56% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.63% Enéas (PRONA)3.35% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.49% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.47% Eymael (PSDC)0.44% Sirkis (PV)0.43% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.38% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.25% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.21% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.15%	+16.07 pts	Right bloc	81.93%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)42.32% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.82% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)14.36% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)12.18% +4 more Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.78% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)6.88% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.39% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.27%	+39.64 pts	Right bloc	85.07%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2014(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Caxias do Sul immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.