50mais1

SP · Bauru immediate region

Paulistânia: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Paulistânia with 63.56% of valid votes against 36.44% for Lula: a margin of 27.13 points, 30.70 points right of Brazil.

Solid right
Lean versus Brazil
+34.75pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
1,993
621th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes
0
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 8 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Paulistânia+27.13 pts
  • São Paulo+7.69 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)63.56%
  • Lula (PT)36.44%
+27.13 ptsRight bloc77.57%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)62.40%
  • Lula (PT)31.82%
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.65%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.02%
+8 more
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.77%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.14%
  • Samara (UP)0.14%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.07%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.00%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
+32.03 ptsRight bloc75.21%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)63.29%
  • Lula (PT)36.71%
+26.59 ptsRight bloc76.93%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)56.78%
  • Lula (PT)36.34%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)4.05%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.92%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.57%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.21%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.07%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%
+23.49 ptsRight bloc77.29%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)76.54%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)23.46%
+53.09 ptsRight bloc73.27%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)60.27%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)17.16%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)10.96%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.03%
+9 more
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)3.95%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.05%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.89%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.64%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.48%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.40%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.08%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.08%
  • Eymael (DC)0.00%
+67.93 ptsRight bloc73.38%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)75.29%
  • Dilma (PT)24.71%
+50.57 ptsRight bloc77.30%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)58.77%
  • Dilma (PT)21.67%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)17.79%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)1.01%
+7 more
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.42%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.25%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.00%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.00%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
+18.21 ptsRight bloc78.29%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)58.80%
  • Dilma (PT)41.20%
+17.60 ptsRight bloc78.33%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • José Serra (PSDB)49.95%
  • Dilma (PT)33.30%
  • Marina Silva (PV)16.47%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09%
+2 more
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.09%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.09%
−0.09 ptsLeft bloc81.18%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)67.01%
  • Lula (PT)32.99%
+34.02 ptsRight bloc86.30%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)72.89%
  • Lula (PT)24.30%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.45%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.26%
+1 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.10%
+45.98 ptsRight bloc86.61%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)62.03%
  • Lula (PT)37.97%
+24.07 ptsRight bloc74.23%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • José Serra (PSDB)51.51%
  • Lula (PT)32.78%
  • Garotinho (PSB)9.76%
  • Ciro (PPS)5.76%
+1 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.20%
+3.02 ptsRight bloc76.66%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)79.23%
  • Lula (PT)10.56%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)4.92%
  • Enéas (PRONA)2.16%
+8 more
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.84%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.48%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.36%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.36%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.36%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.24%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.24%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.24%
+65.19 ptsRight bloc80.81%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

Other municipalities in the Bauru immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.