SP · Itapeva immediate region

Barão de Antonina: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Barão de Antonina with 55.70% of valid votes against 44.30% for Lula: a margin of 11.40 points, 14.97 points right of Brazil.

Likely right

Lean versus Brazil: +9.68pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 2,927; 570th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Barão de Antonina+11.40 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)55.70% Lula (PT)44.30%	+11.40 pts	Right bloc	78.95%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.42% Lula (PT)39.45% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.94% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.57% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.32% Zema (NOVO)0.20% Clariana Barao (DC)0.05% Samara (UP)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+15.11 pts	Right bloc	74.16%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.94% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.06%	−1.88 pts	Left bloc	76.85%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.94% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)45.62% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.86% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.92% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.46% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.10% Vera (PSTU)0.05% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.05% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+2.17 pts	Right bloc	75.31%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.04% Fernando Haddad (PT)41.96%	+16.08 pts	Right bloc	74.46%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)40.80% Fernando Haddad (PT)23.55% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)21.25% Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.27% +9 more Alvaro Dias (PODE)2.30% João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.19% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.93% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.44% Marina Silva (REDE)0.22% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+34.06 pts	Right bloc	73.43%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)61.12% Dilma (PT)38.88%	+22.24 pts	Right bloc	78.66%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)52.53% Dilma (PT)36.05% Marina Silva (PSB)9.73% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.71% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.60% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.16% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.11% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+5.71 pts	Right bloc	78.86%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)54.43% Dilma (PT)45.57%	+8.86 pts	Right bloc	81.54%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)50.89% Dilma (PT)39.10% Marina Silva (PV)8.41% Plínio (PSOL)1.42% +2 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.12% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06%	+2.01 pts	Right bloc	81.41%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)62.59% Lula (PT)37.41%	+25.19 pts	Right bloc	74.13%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)68.06% Lula (PT)27.64% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.37% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.81% +1 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.12%	+36.35 pts	Right bloc	74.95%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)57.98% Lula (PT)42.02%	+15.97 pts	Right bloc	78.09%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)41.37% Lula (PT)35.94% Garotinho (PSB)16.56% Ciro (PPS)5.07% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)1.06%	−17.27 pts	Left bloc	79.72%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)76.85% Lula (PT)11.28% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.99% Enéas (PRONA)0.81% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.66% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.51% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.51% Eymael (PSDC)0.44% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.29% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.22% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.22% Sirkis (PV)0.22%	+58.24 pts	Right bloc	68.80%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)59.07% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)27.68% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)8.15% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.58% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.59% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.46% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.26% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.20%	+83.18 pts	Right bloc	76.76%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Itapeva immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.