SP · Itapeva immediate region

Ribeirão Grande: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Ribeirão Grande with 53.36% of valid votes against 46.64% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 6.72 points, 3.15 points left of Brazil.

Lean leftSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −4.54pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 6,413; 403th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Ribeirão Grande−6.72 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.36% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)46.64%	−6.72 pts	Left bloc	82.60%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)46.19% Lula (PT)45.59% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.96% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.65% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.38% Zema (NOVO)0.06% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.04% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Samara (UP)0.04% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+3.27 pts	Right bloc	80.60%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.62% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)44.38%	−11.23 pts	Left bloc	78.54%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)52.10% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)37.43% Simone Tebet (MDB)6.56% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.91% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.55% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.31% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−10.22 pts	Left bloc	77.61%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)57.28% Fernando Haddad (PT)42.72%	+14.56 pts	Right bloc	76.98%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)38.50% Fernando Haddad (PT)28.35% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)21.45% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.32% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.66% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.23% Marina Silva (REDE)0.51% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.38% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.19% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.17% Vera (PSTU)0.08% Eymael (DC)0.08% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.08%	+30.91 pts	Right bloc	77.01%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)58.21% Aécio Neves (PSDB)41.79%	−16.41 pts	Left bloc	78.34%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)54.38% Aécio Neves (PSDB)31.48% Marina Silva (PSB)13.05% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.42% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.28% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.18% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.14% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Eymael (PSDC)0.00%	−36.40 pts	Left bloc	79.55%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)57.21% José Serra (PSDB)42.79%	−14.42 pts	Left bloc	78.95%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)51.85% José Serra (PSDB)36.71% Marina Silva (PV)10.98% Plínio (PSOL)0.37% +3 more Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.02%	−26.54 pts	Left bloc	79.88%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.73% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)43.27%	−13.46 pts	Left bloc	79.88%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)55.17% Lula (PT)41.88% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.81% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.83% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.17% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.13%	+10.95 pts	Right bloc	81.86%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)65.23% José Serra (PSDB)34.77%	−30.45 pts	Left bloc	83.87%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)58.33% José Serra (PSDB)28.08% Garotinho (PSB)9.43% Ciro (PPS)3.68% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.40% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.08%	−43.83 pts	Left bloc	85.45%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)53.60% Lula (PT)35.66% Ciro Gomes (PPS)4.60% Enéas (PRONA)1.74% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)0.95% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.82% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.78% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.48% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.41% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.34% Sirkis (PV)0.34% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.27%	+15.51 pts	Right bloc	88.25%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)51.28% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)29.99% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)14.21% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.42% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.90% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.57% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.48% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.14%	+38.88 pts	Right bloc	91.03%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Itapeva immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.