SP · Itapeva immediate region

Itaberá: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Itaberá with 58.27% of valid votes against 41.73% for Lula: a margin of 16.54 points, 20.11 points right of Brazil.

Likely rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +14.23pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 13,506; 279th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Itaberá+16.54 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)58.27% Lula (PT)41.73%	+16.54 pts	Right bloc	82.20%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)57.91% Lula (PT)36.56% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.38% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.55% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.42% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.06% Zema (NOVO)0.06% Samara (UP)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+21.87 pts	Right bloc	79.62%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)53.39% Lula (PT)46.61%	+6.78 pts	Right bloc	79.11%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)48.58% Lula (PT)45.62% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.40% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.92% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.27% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.16% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+4.91 pts	Right bloc	77.82%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)61.47% Fernando Haddad (PT)38.53%	+22.94 pts	Right bloc	78.62%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)47.44% Fernando Haddad (PT)27.74% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)16.00% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.47% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.76% Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.11% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.70% Marina Silva (REDE)0.45% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.13% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.12% Eymael (DC)0.06% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01%	+34.36 pts	Right bloc	79.57%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)53.73% Dilma (PT)46.27%	+7.45 pts	Right bloc	79.06%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)46.52% Dilma (PT)41.27% Marina Silva (PSB)10.70% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.60% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.38% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.24% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.21% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.01% Eymael (PSDC)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−6.03 pts	Left bloc	79.88%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)53.32% José Serra (PSDB)46.68%	−6.63 pts	Left bloc	79.39%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)48.34% José Serra (PSDB)43.40% Marina Silva (PV)7.39% Plínio (PSOL)0.73% +3 more Eymael (PSDC)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03%	−12.99 pts	Left bloc	81.10%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.48% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)46.52%	−6.95 pts	Left bloc	79.54%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)53.82% Lula (PT)43.49% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.62% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.97% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.06% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%	+7.85 pts	Right bloc	80.86%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.59% José Serra (PSDB)44.41%	−11.17 pts	Left bloc	79.86%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.20% José Serra (PSDB)35.21% Garotinho (PSB)9.78% Ciro (PPS)4.21% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.58% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−29.57 pts	Left bloc	81.31%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)68.26% Lula (PT)21.23% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.18% Enéas (PRONA)1.18% +8 more Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.69% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.50% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.41% Eymael (PSDC)0.36% Sirkis (PV)0.33% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.32% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.30% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.23%	+42.09 pts	Right bloc	82.15%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)58.52% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)21.78% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)14.49% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.26% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.12% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.32% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.27% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.25%	+55.90 pts	Right bloc	87.35%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Itapeva immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.