SP · Itapeva immediate region

Capão Bonito: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Capão Bonito with 61.26% of valid votes against 38.74% for Lula: a margin of 22.52 points, 26.09 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +28.75pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 34,298; 143th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Capão Bonito+22.52 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)61.26% Lula (PT)38.74%	+22.52 pts	Right bloc	81.37%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)59.92% Lula (PT)32.14% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.04% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.66% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.91% Zema (NOVO)0.18% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Samara (UP)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%	+29.48 pts	Right bloc	78.64%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)61.15% Lula (PT)38.85%	+22.31 pts	Right bloc	76.24%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)53.94% Lula (PT)36.39% Simone Tebet (MDB)6.01% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.47% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.51% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.44% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.12% Léo Péricles (UP)0.07% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01%	+22.06 pts	Right bloc	75.40%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)74.31% Fernando Haddad (PT)25.69%	+48.61 pts	Right bloc	74.39%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)54.85% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)20.45% Fernando Haddad (PT)13.14% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.28% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.41% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.64% Marina Silva (REDE)0.79% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.65% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.47% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.22% Eymael (DC)0.07% Vera (PSTU)0.02% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01%	+61.08 pts	Right bloc	75.06%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)65.39% Dilma (PT)34.61%	+30.79 pts	Right bloc	74.33%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)48.19% Dilma (PT)26.88% Marina Silva (PSB)22.11% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.91% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.79% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.65% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.37% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−1.22 pts	Left bloc	75.67%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)60.37% Dilma (PT)39.63%	+20.74 pts	Right bloc	75.28%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)48.77% Dilma (PT)32.77% Marina Silva (PV)17.68% Plínio (PSOL)0.62% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−2.29 pts	Left bloc	76.82%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)62.96% Lula (PT)37.04%	+25.92 pts	Right bloc	76.61%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)69.21% Lula (PT)26.43% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.18% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.98% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.13% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	+38.81 pts	Right bloc	77.66%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.09% José Serra (PSDB)45.91%	−8.19 pts	Left bloc	78.41%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)44.83% José Serra (PSDB)34.64% Garotinho (PSB)12.51% Ciro (PPS)7.65% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.33% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−30.72 pts	Left bloc	79.47%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)60.33% Lula (PT)26.98% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.50% Enéas (PRONA)1.71% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.78% Eymael (PSDC)0.61% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.47% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.44% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.37% Sirkis (PV)0.36% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.26% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.21%	+27.18 pts	Right bloc	79.37%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)62.68% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)19.66% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)10.47% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.40% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.35% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.81% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.36% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.28%	+59.07 pts	Right bloc	85.67%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Itapeva immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.