SP · Itapeva immediate region

Barra do Chapéu: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Barra do Chapéu with 58.76% of valid votes against 41.24% for Lula: a margin of 17.53 points, 21.10 points right of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +3.04pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,672; 476th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Barra do Chapéu+17.53 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)58.76% Lula (PT)41.24%	+17.53 pts	Right bloc	78.68%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)57.61% Lula (PT)36.33% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.73% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.77% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.29% Samara (UP)0.12% Zema (NOVO)0.09% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+21.59 pts	Right bloc	75.86%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.16% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.84%	−0.32 pts	Left bloc	77.72%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.60% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.91% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)6.33% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.93% +7 more Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.03% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.12% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.06% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	+4.63 pts	Right bloc	75.84%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)52.56% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)47.44%	−5.11 pts	Left bloc	72.10%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)43.27% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)27.23% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)24.96% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.71% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.12% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.78% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.28% Marina Silva (REDE)0.25% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.12% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.12% Vera (PSTU)0.06% Eymael (DC)0.06% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%	+9.11 pts	Right bloc	73.93%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)65.49% Aécio Neves (PSDB)34.51%	−30.98 pts	Left bloc	73.50%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)66.21% Aécio Neves (PSDB)22.92% Marina Silva (PSB)9.83% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.43% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.18% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.15% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.12% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−53.49 pts	Left bloc	76.01%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)67.76% José Serra (PSDB)32.24%	−35.52 pts	Left bloc	73.34%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)66.73% José Serra (PSDB)28.94% Marina Silva (PV)4.19% Plínio (PSOL)0.07% +2 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−42.04 pts	Left bloc	73.77%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.33% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.67%	−8.65 pts	Left bloc	75.19%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)49.39% Lula (PT)48.73% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.92% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)0.83% +2 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.10% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.03%	−0.96 pts	Left bloc	77.57%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)70.97% Lula (PT)29.03%	+41.94 pts	Right bloc	75.32%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)66.86% Lula (PT)26.54% Garotinho (PSB)4.89% Ciro (PPS)1.63% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08%	+33.72 pts	Right bloc	78.23%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)83.86% Lula (PT)8.87% Ciro Gomes (PPS)2.78% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.88% +8 more Enéas (PRONA)0.88% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.67% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.46% Eymael (PSDC)0.46% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.36% Sirkis (PV)0.31% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.26% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.21%	+73.08 pts	Right bloc	79.19%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)72.37% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)12.34% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)11.63% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)1.42% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.71% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.71% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.65% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.18%	+75.32 pts	Right bloc	83.10%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Itapeva immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.