SP · Itapeva immediate region

Itaoca: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Itaoca with 54.14% of valid votes against 45.86% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 8.28 points, 4.71 points left of Brazil.

Likely left

Lean versus Brazil: −9.05pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,039; 565th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

Loading municipalities…

Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Itaoca−8.28 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.14% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)45.86%	−8.28 pts	Left bloc	78.08%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)52.07% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)43.88% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.50% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.46% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.91% Zema (NOVO)0.14% Clariana Barao (DC)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	−7.15 pts	Left bloc	75.22%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.06% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.94%	−12.13 pts	Left bloc	72.25%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.25% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)40.56% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.40% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.09% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.47% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.14% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−10.76 pts	Left bloc	71.71%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)50.61% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)49.39%	−1.22 pts	Left bloc	66.92%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)35.35% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)29.35% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)27.08% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.49% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.31% Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.11% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.61% Marina Silva (REDE)0.30% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.25% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.15% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+19.41 pts	Right bloc	69.96%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)60.49% Aécio Neves (PSDB)39.51%	−20.98 pts	Left bloc	70.58%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)54.66% Aécio Neves (PSDB)30.94% Marina Silva (PSB)12.90% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.55% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.40% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.25% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.15% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Eymael (PSDC)0.00%	−37.32 pts	Left bloc	73.60%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)63.93% José Serra (PSDB)36.07%	−27.86 pts	Left bloc	73.91%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)60.93% José Serra (PSDB)31.14% Marina Silva (PV)7.67% Plínio (PSOL)0.26%	−37.72 pts	Left bloc	75.77%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.03% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)48.97%	−2.07 pts	Left bloc	80.12%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)53.23% Lula (PT)43.71% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.62% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.21% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.17% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06%	+6.93 pts	Right bloc	81.33%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)55.16% Lula (PT)44.84%	+10.33 pts	Right bloc	63.82%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)49.56% Lula (PT)40.75% Garotinho (PSB)7.35% Ciro (PPS)2.22% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.13%	−0.89 pts	Left bloc	66.48%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)73.41% Lula (PT)17.72% Ciro Gomes (PPS)4.43% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.84% +8 more Enéas (PRONA)0.84% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.76% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.61% Eymael (PSDC)0.46% Sirkis (PV)0.38% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.23% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.15% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.15%	+52.64 pts	Right bloc	68.07%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)57.89% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)25.52% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)13.29% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)1.37% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.72% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.56% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.48% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.16%	+47.50 pts	Right bloc	76.70%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Itapeva immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.