SP · São Paulo immediate region

Itaquaquecetuba: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Itaquaquecetuba with 54.86% of valid votes against 45.14% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 9.72 points, 6.15 points left of Brazil.

Toss-upSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −2.81pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 258,023; 21th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Itaquaquecetuba−9.72 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.86% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)45.14%	−9.72 pts	Left bloc	78.31%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.05% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)44.06% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)4.00% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)3.30% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.08% Zema (NOVO)0.19% Samara (UP)0.17% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.05% Clariana Barao (DC)0.05% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−0.62 pts	Left bloc	75.98%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.27% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.73%	−6.54 pts	Left bloc	79.44%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.52% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)39.26% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.00% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.73% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.83% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.41% Léo Péricles (UP)0.09% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.03%	−8.81 pts	Left bloc	79.35%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.40% Fernando Haddad (PT)41.60%	+16.80 pts	Right bloc	79.16%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)44.58% Fernando Haddad (PT)25.71% Ciro Gomes (PDT)11.81% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)8.67% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)2.68% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.78% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.50% Marina Silva (REDE)1.44% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.86% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.79% Eymael (DC)0.09% Vera (PSTU)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04%	+20.18 pts	Right bloc	79.91%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)52.81% Aécio Neves (PSDB)47.19%	−5.61 pts	Left bloc	80.13%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)36.30% Marina Silva (PSB)31.62% Aécio Neves (PSDB)26.72% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.83% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.37% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)1.19% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.61% Eymael (PSDC)0.18% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.06% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−41.08 pts	Left bloc	82.12%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)62.40% José Serra (PSDB)37.60%	−24.80 pts	Left bloc	81.86%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)51.29% José Serra (PSDB)27.37% Marina Silva (PV)20.09% Plínio (PSOL)0.94% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.10% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.09% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−44.89 pts	Left bloc	84.55%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)68.25% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)31.75%	−36.50 pts	Left bloc	82.69%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)55.49% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)36.35% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)6.63% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.33% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.08% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04%	−26.89 pts	Left bloc	84.36%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)60.75% José Serra (PSDB)39.25%	−21.51 pts	Left bloc	80.49%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.38% Garotinho (PSB)22.64% José Serra (PSDB)19.45% Ciro (PPS)8.59% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.92% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−61.11 pts	Left bloc	81.24%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)53.25% Lula (PT)35.46% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.23% Enéas (PRONA)3.53% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)0.43% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.23% Sirkis (PV)0.22% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.18% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.16% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.11% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.11% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.08%	+15.19 pts	Right bloc	78.27%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)43.81% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)28.45% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)13.28% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)11.47% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.31% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.76% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.55% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.38%	+42.01 pts	Right bloc	86.26%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the São Paulo immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.