SP · São Paulo immediate region

São Bernardo do Campo: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won São Bernardo do Campo with 55.37% of valid votes against 44.63% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 10.74 points, 7.17 points left of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −1.34pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 626,614; 4th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2018.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

São Bernardo do Campo−10.74 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.37% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)44.63%	−10.74 pts	Left bloc	81.07%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.77% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)41.83% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)4.46% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)3.96% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.13% Zema (NOVO)0.42% Samara (UP)0.22% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.08% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−3.18 pts	Left bloc	78.22%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.83% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.17%	−7.66 pts	Left bloc	81.04%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.17% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)38.02% Simone Tebet (MDB)7.00% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.13% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.92% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.45% Léo Péricles (UP)0.14% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%	−7.06 pts	Left bloc	80.80%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)59.57% Fernando Haddad (PT)40.43%	+19.14 pts	Right bloc	79.83%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)46.03% Fernando Haddad (PT)23.91% Ciro Gomes (PDT)12.91% João Amoêdo (NOVO)6.18% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)5.84% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.57% Marina Silva (REDE)0.99% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.94% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.89% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.60% Vera (PSTU)0.06% Eymael (DC)0.06% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+22.33 pts	Right bloc	80.15%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)55.89% Dilma (PT)44.11%	+11.78 pts	Right bloc	81.65%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)36.25% Dilma (PT)32.79% Marina Silva (PSB)25.24% Luciana Genro (PSOL)2.94% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)1.11% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.81% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.59% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.11% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.08% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−24.56 pts	Left bloc	82.64%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)56.21% José Serra (PSDB)43.79%	−12.42 pts	Left bloc	82.80%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)46.13% José Serra (PSDB)32.51% Marina Silva (PV)19.91% Plínio (PSOL)1.16% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10% Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−34.71 pts	Left bloc	85.97%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.83% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)40.17%	−19.67 pts	Left bloc	85.92%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.96% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)39.83% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)7.36% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.63% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.09% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.07% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%	−19.91 pts	Left bloc	86.65%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)68.60% José Serra (PSDB)31.40%	−37.20 pts	Left bloc	86.19%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)60.12% José Serra (PSDB)18.99% Garotinho (PSB)11.93% Ciro (PPS)8.31% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.59% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−62.01 pts	Left bloc	86.07%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Lula (PT)45.97% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)44.97% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.75% Enéas (PRONA)2.40% +8 more Sirkis (PV)0.24% Eymael (PSDC)0.18% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.14% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.11% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.07% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.07% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.06% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.06%	−4.46 pts	Left bloc	85.91%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)44.80% Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)40.75% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)9.01% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.96% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.75% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.31% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.22% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.22%	+9.79 pts	Right bloc	89.47%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the São Paulo immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.