SP · São Paulo immediate region

Mauá: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Mauá with 54.69% of valid votes against 45.31% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 9.39 points, 5.82 points left of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +0.64pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 310,392; 16th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2018.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Mauá−9.39 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.69% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)45.31%	−9.39 pts	Left bloc	80.55%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)45.84% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)43.06% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)4.33% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)3.81% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.21% Samara (UP)0.31% Zema (NOVO)0.26% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.06% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−1.18 pts	Left bloc	77.32%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.21% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.79%	−6.42 pts	Left bloc	80.71%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.27% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)38.91% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.99% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.24% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.63% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.57% Léo Péricles (UP)0.20% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.08% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%	−7.60 pts	Left bloc	80.45%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)62.07% Fernando Haddad (PT)37.93%	+24.14 pts	Right bloc	79.90%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)48.56% Fernando Haddad (PT)21.05% Ciro Gomes (PDT)13.30% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.87% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.41% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)2.32% Marina Silva (REDE)1.51% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.16% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)1.00% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.63% Eymael (DC)0.10% Vera (PSTU)0.06% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+26.12 pts	Right bloc	80.20%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)56.22% Dilma (PT)43.78%	+12.43 pts	Right bloc	81.65%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Marina Silva (PSB)36.54% Dilma (PT)30.95% Aécio Neves (PSDB)27.19% Luciana Genro (PSOL)2.37% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.98% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.96% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.73% Eymael (PSDC)0.12% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.06% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−41.51 pts	Left bloc	83.14%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)57.00% José Serra (PSDB)43.00%	−14.00 pts	Left bloc	83.50%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)47.67% José Serra (PSDB)30.05% Marina Silva (PV)20.99% Plínio (PSOL)0.94% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.14% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−39.47 pts	Left bloc	86.31%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)61.75% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)38.25%	−23.50 pts	Left bloc	86.26%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.29% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)38.11% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)9.15% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.19% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.14% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03%	−23.27 pts	Left bloc	87.15%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)70.25% José Serra (PSDB)29.75%	−40.51 pts	Left bloc	86.87%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)60.75% Garotinho (PSB)17.82% José Serra (PSDB)13.43% Ciro (PPS)7.16% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.79% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−73.13 pts	Left bloc	86.46%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Lula (PT)55.01% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)34.13% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.87% Enéas (PRONA)3.83% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)0.28% Sirkis (PV)0.26% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.14% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.14% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.11% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.09% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.07% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.06%	−22.92 pts	Left bloc	85.66%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)54.31% Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)28.62% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)10.27% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.62% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.28% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.34% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.31% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.26%	−9.28 pts	Left bloc	90.56%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2014(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the São Paulo immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.