50mais1

SP · São Paulo immediate region

Osasco: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Osasco with 52.36% of valid votes against 47.64% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 4.72 points, 1.15 points left of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing
Lean versus Brazil
+5.15pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
583,999
5th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes
3
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Has voted for the national winner since 2018.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Osasco−4.72 pts
  • São Paulo+7.69 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)52.36%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.64%
−4.72 ptsLeft bloc79.75%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)45.46%
  • Lula (PT)43.34%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)4.10%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)3.81%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.49%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.39%
  • Samara (UP)0.21%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.07%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.05%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.04%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
+4.45 ptsRight bloc76.71%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)50.40%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.60%
−0.80 ptsLeft bloc79.69%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)45.74%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.25%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)6.97%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.29%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.82%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.62%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.12%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.07%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.04%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.03%
−0.52 ptsLeft bloc79.29%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)63.14%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)36.86%
+26.28 ptsRight bloc78.89%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)47.98%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)18.85%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)13.58%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)7.81%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)5.52%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.44%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)1.31%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.24%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.15%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.92%
  • Eymael (DC)0.09%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.06%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04%
+30.47 ptsRight bloc79.09%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)58.91%
  • Dilma (PT)41.09%
+17.83 ptsRight bloc79.85%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)36.17%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)30.29%
  • Dilma (PT)27.83%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)3.03%
+7 more
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)1.09%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.77%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.56%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.10%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
−24.78 ptsLeft bloc81.29%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)54.54%
  • José Serra (PSDB)45.46%
−9.08 ptsLeft bloc82.23%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)42.95%
  • José Serra (PSDB)30.90%
  • Marina Silva (PV)24.71%
  • Plínio (PSOL)1.16%
+5 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.10%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−37.87 ptsLeft bloc85.73%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)58.43%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)41.57%
−16.86 ptsLeft bloc85.75%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)47.07%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)43.05%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)8.02%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.62%
+3 more
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.10%
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.07%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06%
−13.41 ptsLeft bloc86.88%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)64.67%
  • José Serra (PSDB)35.33%
−29.34 ptsLeft bloc85.19%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)55.57%
  • José Serra (PSDB)20.80%
  • Garotinho (PSB)13.79%
  • Ciro (PPS)9.21%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.57%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%
−58.39 ptsLeft bloc85.16%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)49.58%
  • Lula (PT)38.50%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)8.06%
  • Enéas (PRONA)2.94%
+8 more
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.22%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.16%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.14%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.14%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.07%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.07%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.06%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.06%
+6.00 ptsRight bloc84.28%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)42.85%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)38.75%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)11.01%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.07%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.82%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.87%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.32%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.31%
+20.76 ptsRight bloc89.73%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the São Paulo immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.