SP · Itapeva immediate region

Ribeira: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Ribeira with 53.37% of valid votes against 46.63% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 6.75 points, 3.18 points left of Brazil.

Likely leftSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −8.64pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 2,889; 572th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2006.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Ribeira−6.75 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.37% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)46.63%	−6.75 pts	Left bloc	70.79%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.96% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)44.90% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.41% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.32% +8 more Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.18% Samara (UP)0.14% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05% Zema (NOVO)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−4.65 pts	Left bloc	76.57%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.01% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)40.99%	−18.03 pts	Left bloc	77.31%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)57.99% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)36.25% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.55% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.46% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.35% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.18% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.04% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04%	−19.17 pts	Left bloc	77.07%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.18% Fernando Haddad (PT)49.82%	+0.36 pts	Right bloc	73.86%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)38.04% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)32.94% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)21.08% João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.93% +9 more Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.41% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.85% Marina Silva (REDE)0.66% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.57% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.33% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.14% Vera (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+17.39 pts	Right bloc	74.92%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)54.24% Aécio Neves (PSDB)45.76%	−8.48 pts	Left bloc	76.65%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)47.84% Aécio Neves (PSDB)31.27% Marina Silva (PSB)19.34% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.64% +7 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.41% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.27% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.14% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−36.28 pts	Left bloc	78.47%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)54.71% José Serra (PSDB)45.29%	−9.43 pts	Left bloc	81.18%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)49.83% José Serra (PSDB)40.04% Marina Silva (PV)9.64% Plínio (PSOL)0.44% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05%	−19.92 pts	Left bloc	81.97%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.25% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)44.75%	−10.50 pts	Left bloc	79.17%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)50.07% Lula (PT)46.29% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.77% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.43% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.39% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%	+1.03 pts	Right bloc	79.55%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)57.95% Lula (PT)42.05%	+15.90 pts	Right bloc	82.74%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)49.88% Lula (PT)39.32% Garotinho (PSB)8.34% Ciro (PPS)2.28% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.18%	−0.24 pts	Left bloc	84.82%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)67.62% Lula (PT)22.47% Ciro Gomes (PPS)3.91% Enéas (PRONA)1.54% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.83% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.77% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.77% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.72% Eymael (PSDC)0.39% Sirkis (PV)0.39% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.33% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.28%	+41.74 pts	Right bloc	64.68%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)72.51% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)17.30% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.52% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.18% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.34% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.46% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.37% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.32%	+64.76 pts	Right bloc	73.41%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2018(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Itapeva immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.