SP · São Paulo immediate region

Embu-Guaçu: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Embu-Guaçu with 51.52% of valid votes against 48.48% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 3.03 points, 0.54 points right of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +4.99pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 53,728; 104th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2018.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Embu-Guaçu−3.03 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.52% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.48%	−3.03 pts	Left bloc	77.74%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)46.50% Lula (PT)42.10% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)4.29% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)3.43% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.95% Zema (NOVO)0.29% Samara (UP)0.25% Clariana Barao (DC)0.06% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.06% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%	+6.50 pts	Right bloc	74.72%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.85% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.15%	−1.69 pts	Left bloc	75.16%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.97% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)40.32% Simone Tebet (MDB)6.68% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.85% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)1.36% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.54% Léo Péricles (UP)0.09% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.08% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.07% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	−2.01 pts	Left bloc	74.57%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)62.99% Fernando Haddad (PT)37.01%	+25.97 pts	Right bloc	75.22%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)47.62% Fernando Haddad (PT)20.11% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)11.71% Ciro Gomes (PDT)10.21% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.45% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.79% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.58% Marina Silva (REDE)1.54% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.97% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.86% Vera (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (DC)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%	+34.15 pts	Right bloc	75.40%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)56.37% Dilma (PT)43.63%	+12.75 pts	Right bloc	77.63%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)37.26% Dilma (PT)32.38% Marina Silva (PSB)24.98% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.91% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.70% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.84% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.78% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−20.31 pts	Left bloc	79.51%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)55.34% José Serra (PSDB)44.66%	−10.68 pts	Left bloc	79.30%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)47.10% José Serra (PSDB)34.27% Marina Silva (PV)17.53% Plínio (PSOL)0.86% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−31.18 pts	Left bloc	82.30%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)51.02% Lula (PT)48.98%	+2.04 pts	Right bloc	81.01%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)56.60% Lula (PT)35.86% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)5.94% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.36% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.13% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.02%	+13.67 pts	Right bloc	82.54%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)54.21% Lula (PT)45.79%	+8.42 pts	Right bloc	78.73%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)37.85% José Serra (PSDB)31.13% Garotinho (PSB)16.58% Ciro (PPS)13.83% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.60% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−37.75 pts	Left bloc	79.55%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)61.01% Lula (PT)23.88% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.84% Enéas (PRONA)3.77% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)0.83% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.50% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.49% Sirkis (PV)0.42% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.38% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.34% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.28% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.26%	+32.97 pts	Right bloc	81.68%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)60.30% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)20.99% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)8.26% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.76% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.55% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.51% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.35% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.28%	+56.99 pts	Right bloc	86.98%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2010(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the São Paulo immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.