SP · São Paulo immediate region

Ferraz de Vasconcelos: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Ferraz de Vasconcelos with 57.35% of valid votes against 42.65% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 14.70 points, 11.13 points left of Brazil.

Lean leftSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −6.28pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 128,913; 46th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Ferraz de Vasconcelos−14.70 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)57.35% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)42.65%	−14.70 pts	Left bloc	82.45%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.55% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)41.18% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.96% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)3.44% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.21% Zema (NOVO)0.25% Samara (UP)0.22% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.06% Clariana Barao (DC)0.06% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−5.65 pts	Left bloc	80.40%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.45% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)44.55%	−10.91 pts	Left bloc	79.70%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)52.00% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)37.16% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.63% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.86% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.71% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.39% Léo Péricles (UP)0.10% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01%	−12.06 pts	Left bloc	79.90%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)57.12% Fernando Haddad (PT)42.88%	+14.25 pts	Right bloc	78.26%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)44.89% Fernando Haddad (PT)25.98% Ciro Gomes (PDT)13.14% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.85% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)2.27% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.97% Marina Silva (REDE)1.67% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.50% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.96% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.54% Eymael (DC)0.11% Vera (PSTU)0.06% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05%	+16.28 pts	Right bloc	78.95%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)51.13% Aécio Neves (PSDB)48.87%	−2.27 pts	Left bloc	79.71%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Marina Silva (PSB)35.64% Dilma (PT)33.88% Aécio Neves (PSDB)25.28% Luciana Genro (PSOL)2.38% +7 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)1.07% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.79% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.68% Eymael (PSDC)0.13% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−45.46 pts	Left bloc	81.71%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)63.79% José Serra (PSDB)36.21%	−27.59 pts	Left bloc	82.55%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)50.81% Marina Silva (PV)24.40% José Serra (PSDB)23.65% Plínio (PSOL)0.88% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.09% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−52.39 pts	Left bloc	85.46%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)64.75% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)35.25%	−29.49 pts	Left bloc	83.79%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.60% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)38.16% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)8.55% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.48% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.10% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.09% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03%	−23.27 pts	Left bloc	85.10%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)61.51% José Serra (PSDB)38.49%	−23.01 pts	Left bloc	83.62%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.32% Garotinho (PSB)21.69% José Serra (PSDB)18.29% Ciro (PPS)9.79% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.87% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−63.41 pts	Left bloc	82.70%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)49.94% Lula (PT)37.86% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.36% Enéas (PRONA)3.65% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)0.28% Sirkis (PV)0.21% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.18% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.16% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.12% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.10% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.07% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.07%	+8.39 pts	Right bloc	80.55%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)45.98% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)30.37% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)13.59% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.61% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.29% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.43% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.38% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.36%	+38.40 pts	Right bloc	89.43%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the São Paulo immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.