SP · São Paulo immediate region

Guararema: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Guararema with 63.07% of valid votes against 36.93% for Lula: a margin of 26.13 points, 29.70 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +33.58pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 26,376; 181th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Guararema+26.13 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)63.07% Lula (PT)36.93%	+26.13 pts	Right bloc	79.34%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)63.35% Lula (PT)29.51% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.54% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.35% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.82% Zema (NOVO)0.23% Samara (UP)0.11% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%	+35.56 pts	Right bloc	78.20%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)63.65% Lula (PT)36.35%	+27.29 pts	Right bloc	79.05%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)57.06% Lula (PT)33.74% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.58% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.41% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.54% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.48% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.09% Léo Péricles (UP)0.06% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	+27.40 pts	Right bloc	78.77%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)76.67% Fernando Haddad (PT)23.33%	+53.34 pts	Right bloc	78.84%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)60.33% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)12.34% Fernando Haddad (PT)11.23% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.48% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)5.41% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.11% Marina Silva (REDE)1.06% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.89% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.57% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.47% Eymael (DC)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01%	+61.42 pts	Right bloc	79.58%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)70.10% Dilma (PT)29.90%	+40.21 pts	Right bloc	81.58%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)44.72% Marina Silva (PSB)29.55% Dilma (PT)23.05% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.16% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.68% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.38% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.33% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−9.11 pts	Left bloc	83.22%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)61.89% Dilma (PT)38.11%	+23.78 pts	Right bloc	82.53%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)45.45% Dilma (PT)35.76% Marina Silva (PV)17.79% Plínio (PSOL)0.80% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−8.90 pts	Left bloc	84.93%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)59.54% Lula (PT)40.46%	+19.08 pts	Right bloc	87.01%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)64.30% Lula (PT)28.70% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)5.70% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.11% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.12% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	+28.99 pts	Right bloc	88.16%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)54.16% Lula (PT)45.84%	+8.32 pts	Right bloc	79.94%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)36.77% Lula (PT)36.42% Garotinho (PSB)17.46% Ciro (PPS)8.83% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.51% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−26.46 pts	Left bloc	79.47%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)61.67% Lula (PT)23.29% Ciro Gomes (PPS)8.95% Enéas (PRONA)2.36% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)0.71% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.59% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.48% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.43% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.42% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.42% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.40% Sirkis (PV)0.28%	+31.98 pts	Right bloc	81.54%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)58.72% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)20.16% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)9.13% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)8.83% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.77% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.58% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.48% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.33%	+58.50 pts	Right bloc	84.76%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.