SP · São Paulo immediate region

São Lourenço da Serra: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won São Lourenço da Serra with 51.03% of valid votes against 48.97% for Lula: a margin of 2.06 points, 5.63 points right of Brazil.

Likely right

Lean versus Brazil: +9.75pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 11,945; 296th largest electorate in São Paulo
Side changes: 0; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of São Paulo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

São Lourenço da Serra+2.06 pts
São Paulo+7.69 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)51.03% Lula (PT)48.97%	+2.06 pts	Right bloc	80.17%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)50.03% Lula (PT)40.60% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.70% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.78% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.33% Zema (NOVO)0.26% Samara (UP)0.13% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.08% Clariana Barao (DC)0.05% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+10.93 pts	Right bloc	78.20%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)51.70% Lula (PT)48.30%	+3.40 pts	Right bloc	75.86%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)45.07% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.41% Simone Tebet (MDB)6.85% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.45% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.66% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.37% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.05% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01%	+2.80 pts	Right bloc	75.29%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)62.96% Fernando Haddad (PT)37.04%	+25.93 pts	Right bloc	75.48%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)47.27% Fernando Haddad (PT)19.57% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)15.55% Ciro Gomes (PDT)9.07% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.61% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.37% Marina Silva (REDE)0.95% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.92% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.86% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.83% Eymael (DC)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+39.11 pts	Right bloc	75.97%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)62.39% Dilma (PT)37.61%	+24.78 pts	Right bloc	77.75%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)47.85% Dilma (PT)26.85% Marina Silva (PSB)22.14% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.30% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.74% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.56% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.47% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−1.84 pts	Left bloc	79.10%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)52.46% Dilma (PT)47.54%	+4.93 pts	Right bloc	78.69%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)43.04% Dilma (PT)40.62% Marina Silva (PV)15.60% Plínio (PSOL)0.60% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−13.79 pts	Left bloc	80.93%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)55.69% Lula (PT)44.31%	+11.37 pts	Right bloc	80.68%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)60.21% Lula (PT)33.86% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.64% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.07% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.18% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.02% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	+20.84 pts	Right bloc	81.26%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)58.64% Lula (PT)41.36%	+17.28 pts	Right bloc	81.65%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)48.08% Lula (PT)34.18% Garotinho (PSB)9.58% Ciro (PPS)7.69% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.45% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−3.83 pts	Left bloc	80.03%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)76.55% Lula (PT)13.38% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.12% Enéas (PRONA)1.71% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.71% Eymael (PSDC)0.49% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.46% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.39% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.34% Sirkis (PV)0.32% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.27% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.27%	+59.48 pts	Right bloc	84.42%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)68.23% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)12.99% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.91% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.65% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.99% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.58% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.39% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.26%	+72.86 pts	Right bloc	88.81%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2022(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the São Paulo immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.